Celta vs Mallorca: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 22 February 2026
One of the standout fixtures of La Liga's Matchday 25 will take place this Sunday at Balaídos Stadium in Vigo, where Celta host Mallorca. Let's break down a promising total goals bet for this clash with solid chances of payout.
Match preview
Celta are experiencing a mixed stretch this season. After a strong run at the start of winter, the team went five games without a win, although their overall performance didn't drop much — even against tough opponents like Real Sociedad, the Celts created chances but struggled with finishing. They snapped their winless streak on 19 February in the Europa League, edging PAOK 2-1 away, where Iago Aspas delivered a goal and an assist to restore confidence.
However, the congested schedule is taking its toll. In their last six matches, Celta have conceded nine goals, six of which came after the 75th minute — a clear sign of fatigue and lack of squad depth. Claudio Giráldez is planning significant rotation: Aspas, Marcos Alonso, Mingueza, and Moriba may be rested, while Hugo Sotelo could miss out due to injury. All this makes the hosts less predictable — but also less stable.
Mallorca have slipped into the relegation zone after a brutal run against top sides — defeats to Atlético (0-3), Barcelona (0-3), and Betis (1-2) have dropped the islanders to 18th. Yet before this gauntlet, they looked well-organized and picked up crucial points. It's too soon to talk about a full-blown crisis — the fixture list was simply unforgiving.
In attack, Mallorca continue to rely on Vedat Muriqi, who has found the net seven times in his last seven matches — the Albanian remains a constant threat to any defense. Yes, their away form is poor — just five points from 12 matches and 23 goals conceded — but in Vigo, Mallorca's record is brighter: two wins and only two losses in their last five visits.
Probable lineups
- Celta: Radu, Ristic, Starfelt, Fernandez, Alvarez, Lopez, Vecino, Rueda, Duran, El-Abdellaoui, Jutglà
- Mallorca: Roman, Maffeo, Valjent, Raíllo, Mojica, Mascarell, Darder, Costa, Luvumbo, Virgili, Muriqi
Match facts and head-to-head
- Celta have conceded six of their last nine goals after the 75th minute.
- Mallorca have lost three of their last four matches, all against top-half teams.
- Five of the last six head-to-head meetings have seen fewer than three goals scored.
Prediction
Given Celta's likely rotation and Mallorca's desperate motivation, the visitors could capitalize on the hosts' fatigue. Celta are traditionally aggressive at home, but the final stages of matches remain their Achilles' heel. The most logical outcome looks to be a tight contest with few clear-cut chances.
