Casa Pia vs Guimarães: can Guimarães end their poor run?

Casa Pia AC vs Vitoria de Guimaraes prediction Photo: https://x.com/VitoriaSC1922
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Portugal, Rio Maior Lisbon, Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior

In the Matchday 16 fixture of the Portuguese League, Casa Pia will face Guimarães on Sunday, December 28, with kick-off scheduled for 16:30 CET. I am offering a betting pick for this encounter.

Casa Pia vs Guimarães: match facts and H2H

  • Casa Pia have won only one of their last five matches.
  • Guimarães have lost their last two games.
  • Casa Pia have conceded at least one goal in each of their last five matches.
  • At home, Casa Pia have failed to win in 11 consecutive matches.
  • Guimarães have won their last three away matches and have lost only once in their last six games on the road.
  • In 44% of their matches this season, Casa Pia have conceded in both halves.
  • Guimarães have kept a clean sheet in 32% of their matches, while Casa Pia have done so in 22%.
  • Both teams have lost the same percentage of matches without scoring: 33% and 32%, respectively.
  • Guimarães beat Casa Pia 1–0 in their previous head-to-head meeting.

Casa Pia vs Guimarães: match preview

Casa Pia are currently near the bottom of the table and are fighting for survival and to retain their place in Portugal’s top division. After 15 rounds, the team have collected 13 points and sit in 15th place. Casa Pia are ahead of Arouca only on tiebreakers, with both sides level on 13 points. The team have won just one of their previous five matches. In the current campaign, they have recorded only three victories.

Guimarães are positioned in mid-table and could even push for European qualification. After 15 matches, they have earned 21 points and occupy eighth place. However, they have lost their last two games, suffering a 1–4 defeat to Sporting and a 0–1 loss to AFS. They are currently five points behind fourth place and, in reality, still have a genuine chance to challenge for a top-four finish and European spots.

Probable line-ups

  • Casa Pia: Batista; Geraldes, Fonte, Sousa; Larrazabal, Nhaga, Perez, Oukili, Conte; Livolant, Livramento
  • Vitoria de Guimarães: Castillo; Maga, Balieiro, Abascal, Mendes; Samu, Nogueira; Mitrovic, Saviolo, Camara; Ndoye

Prediction

A very intriguing match awaits us, and I do not expect a high-scoring affair. The recommended bet for this game is under 2.5 total goals.

Prediction on game Total under 2,5
Odds: 1.5
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