Casa Pia vs Benfica: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — April 6, 2026
Monday in Rio Maior will set the stage for a clash in the 28th round of the Primeira Liga, as Casa Pia hosts Lisbon giants Benfica. Dive into team details and our match prediction below.
See also: Club Brugge vs Anderlecht prediction and betting tips 06 April 2026
Match preview
Casa Pia, under the guidance of Alvaro Pacheco, are going through a tough stretch. The team sits 16th in the table, just one point above the relegation zone. The main issue for the "Geese" is a disastrous defense and a lack of consistency: in the last round, they suffered a crushing 0-4 defeat to Estrela Amadora. At home, Casa Pia have only managed two wins this season, making them extremely vulnerable against the league's elites. The team tries to play closed, physical football, but recurring mistakes in transitional phases often lead to conceding goals.
Benfica are third in the standings and in great form, having collected 65 points from 27 matches. After being knocked out of the Champions League by Real Madrid in late February, José Mourinho's men have turned their full attention to domestic glory. The "Eagles" are showing impressive attacking output, and their defensive line is considered one of the most reliable in the league. In the first-round fixture, Benfica unexpectedly dropped points against Casa Pia (2-2), and now the Lisbon side will arrive determined to take revenge and avoid any slip-ups in the title race.
Tactically, expect total dominance from Benfica. The visitors will establish control of possession (projected at around 65-70%) and use the full width of the pitch to stretch Casa Pia's compact defense. Casa Pia will set up a deep block of five defenders, relying on rare counterattacks and set pieces.
Probable lineups
Casa Pia: Sequeira — Geraldes, Varela, Zolotic, Fonte, Lelo — Mukendi, Segovia, Roberto — Moreira, Cardoso
Benfica: Trubin — Bah, Otamendi, Silva, Carreras — Florentino, Kokcu, Aursnes — Di Maria, Pavlidis, Akturkoglu
Match facts and head-to-head
- In the last five matches, Benfica have won twice, Casa Pia once, with two draws
- Casa Pia have only won two of their last ten games, losing and drawing four apiece
- Benfica have conceded in four of their last five matches, winning three of them
Prediction
I expect attacking football from both sides, which should deliver plenty of goals. My prediction: total over (2.5) at 1.53
