Casa Pia — Porto Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 2 February 2026

Casa Pia AC vs FC Porto prediction Photo: https://x.com/FCPorto/Author unknownn
Finished
2 : 1
Portugal, Rio Maior Lisbon, Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior
Gaizka Larrazabal
12'
Thiago Silva
45' (OG)
46'
Pablo Rosario

On February 2, 2026, in Matchday 20 of Primeira Liga Portugal, Casa Pia will host Porto. The match is scheduled to kick off at 21:45 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Casa Pia

Casa Pia approach this match in rather poor form. The team have failed to record a victory in their last four matches, picking up two defeats and two draws. In their most recent outing, Casa Pia played out a dramatic 3–3 home draw against AVS. Overall, their form across all competitions leaves much to be desired. Casa Pia have managed just one win in their last nine matches, alongside three draws and five defeats. This run of results is reflected in their league position, as they currently sit 16th in the standings with 15 points, having collected only three wins, six draws and ten losses so far this season.

Home performances have been particularly concerning. In nine matches at their own ground, Casa Pia remain without a single victory, recording five draws and four defeats.

The head-to-head record against Porto at home offers little encouragement either. Casa Pia have failed to win any of their last four home meetings with Porto, suffering three defeats and one draw. Moreover, in three of those four matches, Casa Pia were unable to find the back of the net.

Porto

As for Porto, the visitors come into this match in excellent form and are enjoying a truly outstanding season. The team are currently on a 12-match unbeaten run across all competitions. In their most recent outing, Porto claimed a convincing 3–1 victory over Rangers in the Europa League, comfortably securing qualification for the Round of 16 after finishing fifth in the overall standings.

On the domestic front, Porto continued their dominance with a routine 3–0 home win over Gil Vicente in their latest league fixture. They sit firmly at the top of the Primeira Liga table with 55 points, holding a seven-point advantage over second-placed Sporting. After 19 league matches, Porto have recorded an extraordinary 18 wins and just one draw, scoring 40 goals while conceding only four — the best defensive record in the league.

Porto’s performances away from home have been nothing short of exceptional. They have won all 10 of their away league matches this season, scoring 21 goals and conceding just twice.

The head-to-head record against Casa Pia further underlines Porto’s superiority. In the last eight meetings between the sides, Porto remain unbeaten, recording seven victories and one draw.

Probable Lineups

  • Casa Pia: Sequeira, David, Kaly, Joao Goulart, Larrazabal, Brito, Nhaga, Conte, Tiago Moraes, Livolant, Cassiano
  • Porto: Costa, Kiwior, Bednarek, T.Silva, Fernandes, Froholdt, Rosario, Gabri Veiga, Sainz, Pepe, Samu

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • Casa Pia have failed to win 8 of their last 9 matches.
  • Porto have won 11 of their last 12 matches.
  • Porto have won the last 6 head-to-head meetings.
  • Porto have kept a clean sheet in the last 3 head-to-head matches.
  • Porto are unbeaten in the last 8 head-to-head meetings.

Casa Pia — Porto Prediction

The teams head into this fixture with differing form and contrasting league positions. Casa Pia are struggling near the bottom of the table, battling to avoid relegation, and are currently on a four-match winless run. Their situation is further complicated by a very poor head-to-head record against Porto. Porto, by contrast, are performing at a consistently high level across all competitions. The visitors are dominant in the Portuguese league and have also progressed comfortably through the Europa League group stage. They remain unbeaten in the domestic championship and boast an outstanding defensive record, having conceded just four goals so far this season. Looking at the head-to-head history, Porto have won each of the last six meetings with Casa Pia, keeping clean sheets in the most recent three. Taking into account the current form of both sides, the significant difference in quality, and Porto’s clear superiority in previous encounters, it is difficult to see Casa Pia offering serious resistance. Porto are deserved and clear favourites in this matchup. My bet for this match: Porto Asian Handicap -1.5 at odds of 1.78.

Prediction on game W2(-1.5)
Odds: 1.78
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