Canada vs USA: Prediction, facts, odds and H2H - May 28, 2026
Canada
USA
Canada and the USA will face off in the quarter-finals of the 2026 World Championship on Thursday, May 28. The game gets underway at 16:20 CET, and here is my betting pick for the matchup.
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Canada vs USA: Match preview
Canada arrived at this tournament loaded with star power, featuring both veteran legends like Crosby and young talents such as Celebrini, who is already serving as the captain of this team. They enjoyed an outstanding group-stage campaign at the World Championship. The team won all of its games, six of them in regulation and one in overtime.
They finished top of the standings with 20 points from seven matches. The Maple Leafs finished five points clear of the second-placed team. Canada are clear favourites to win the tournament, especially considering they have not captured a World Championship title since 2023.
The USA are the reigning World Championship holders and continue their title defence. However, it will clearly not be an easy task. The main issue is that the team did not bring its strongest possible roster, with Matthew Tkachuk standing out as the only true superstar in the squad. The Americans reached the playoffs after recording four wins and three defeats in the group stage.
They collected 11 points, edged past Germany, but enter the playoffs as the lowest-seeded team overall — eighth. Even the fourth-placed team from Group B earned more points. Despite that, the USA remain the USA, and Canada certainly will not have an easy time against this opponent.
Match facts and H2H
- Canada won every game during the group stage.
- Canada boast the second-best offence in the tournament with 33 goals scored.
- Canada conceded 13 goals in seven games — the third-best defensive record.
- The USA are the eighth seed in the playoffs.
- The last meeting between these teams came in the final of the 2026 Olympics and ended in a victory for the USA.
Prediction
Despite Canada possessing an incredible roster at this tournament, they are unlikely to have an easy ride against the USA. That is why I recommend betting on the total goals market over 5.
