Can Werder Bremen End Their Losing Run Against Hoffenheim at Home? Prediction | October 31, 2026
Werder Bremen host Hoffenheim on October 31 in Round 8 of the Bundesliga. Both teams arrive after being eliminated from the DFB-Pokal, but their league form offers reasons for optimism. Werder are unbeaten in their last 6 Bundesliga matches, while Hoffenheim recently recorded 3 consecutive victories across different competitions. However, the visitors have dominated this fixture in recent years, giving the hosts a difficult record to overcome.
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen come into this match after a narrow 3–2 defeat to Borussia Dortmund in the DFB-Pokal. They put up a competitive performance but conceded the decisive goal late in the game, ending their cup campaign.
Their Bundesliga form has been much stronger. Since losing to Freiburg in the opening round, Werder have gone 6 league matches without defeat, recording 3 wins and 3 draws. Their latest league outing brought a 3–2 victory over Mainz, extending that unbeaten run. After 7 rounds, Werder sit sixth in the table with 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat. They have scored 15 goals and conceded 14, leaving them 5 points behind leaders Bayern Munich.
Werder have also performed well at home, winning 2 and drawing 1 of their 3 Bundesliga matches in Bremen. However, Hoffenheim have been a particularly difficult opponent on this ground. Werder are winless in their last 10 home meetings with Hoffenheim, losing 7 and drawing 3. They have also lost their last 6 home encounters against the visitors.
Defensive issues remain a concern. Werder have conceded in 8 consecutive matches, while both teams have scored in 8 of their last 9 games.
Werder have completed 85.5% of their open-play passes, the fourth-highest rate in the league, while their 98 shots on target and 668 successful tackles provide further context for their season so far.
- Possible Werder Bremen lineup: Hein, Arthur, Pieper, Schmetgens, Friedl, Reis, Regeer, Weiser, Chuki, Grüll, Füllkrug.
Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim were also eliminated from the DFB-Pokal after drawing 1–1 with Holstein Kiel in regular time before losing on penalties. Hoffenheim had won 3 consecutive matches across different competitions, beating Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga before defeating Lyon in the Europa League. The European victory was their first in the current campaign.
After 3 Europa League matches, Hoffenheim have 3 points and sit 23rd in the standings. In the Bundesliga, they occupy 10th place after 7 rounds, with 3 wins and 4 defeats. They have scored 14 goals and conceded 14, collecting 9 points.
Hoffenheim’s matches have regularly featured goals. Six of their last 7 games have produced more than 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in 5 of those 7 fixtures. Given Werder’s run of consecutive matches without a clean sheet, Hoffenheim may find opportunities to score.
The visitors also rank among the Bundesliga’s leading teams in several statistical categories. Their 123 shots rank joint second in the league, while their 52% average possession places them fifth. Hoffenheim lead the division in duels won with 756 and rank third for distance covered, with 857.9 kilometres. They have also recorded 1,183 sprints, the third-highest total, and won 158 aerial duels, ranking fifth.
- Possible Hoffenheim lineup: Baumann, Coufal, Kabak, Machida, Rots, Burger, Avdullahu, Conté, Asllani, Daghim, Hložek.
Head-to-Head
Hoffenheim have won 8 of the last 10 meetings between the teams, with Werder claiming 2 victories. The visitors have won their last 5 encounters with Bremen and have prevailed in 8 of the last 9 meetings. Werder’s home record against Hoffenheim is particularly poor. They have not beaten the visitors at home in 10 consecutive matches, losing 7 and drawing 3. Hoffenheim have also kept clean sheets in their last 4 head-to-head meetings, while Werder have conceded in 14 consecutive matches against this opponent.
Key Trends
- Werder Bremen are unbeaten in their last 6 Bundesliga matches.
- Werder Bremen have conceded in 8 consecutive matches.
- Both teams have scored in 8 of Werder Bremen’s last 9 matches.
- Hoffenheim have won 3 in their last 4 matches.
- Six of Hoffenheim’s last 7 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams have scored in 5 of Hoffenheim’s last 7 matches.
- Hoffenheim have won their last 5 meetings with Werder Bremen.
- Hoffenheim are unbeaten in their last 10 away meetings with Werder Bremen.
- Hoffenheim have kept clean sheets in their last 4 meetings with Werder Bremen.
Prediction
Hoffenheim’s head-to-head record gives them a clear historical advantage, but Werder’s current Bundesliga form makes this a more competitive fixture than the recent history alone might suggest. The hosts are unbeaten in 6 league matches and have won 2 of their 3 home games, while Hoffenheim have shown attacking quality through their recent run of victories. Both teams have scored regularly this season, but defensive consistency has been an issue. The main question is whether Werder can finally end their poor home record against Hoffenheim. The visitors have won 5 consecutive meetings and have kept clean sheets in their last 4 encounters, so the hosts will need to be more effective in attack than they have been in this matchup recently. Given the attacking output of both sides and their defensive vulnerabilities, the statistics point towards another match with opportunities at both ends. Recommended Bet: Over 3 Total Goals
