Can Wembanyama expose Phoenix's weakness inside? Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs prediction – 10.11.2026
Phoenix Suns
San Antonio Spurs
The Phoenix Suns will host the San Antonio Spurs at Mortgage Matchup Center on November 10, with tip-off scheduled for 04:00 Kyiv time (November 9 at 9:00 PM Eastern Time). The Western Conference rivals enter this NBA regular-season clash in contrasting circumstances. San Antonio have established themselves among the league's early leaders with eight consecutive victories, while Phoenix are attempting to recover from a difficult start to the campaign.
Phoenix Suns: Booker leads the recovery, but defensive problems remain
Phoenix have finally begun showing signs of improvement after a disappointing opening stretch. Jordan Ott's team lost five of their first six games but responded with consecutive home victories over the Orlando Magic (117-104) and Houston Rockets (102-99), improving their overall record to 3-5.
The victory against Houston was particularly important. Despite surrendering a 19-point advantage, the Suns held their nerve in the closing minutes, with Devin Booker delivering a decisive offensive performance. The guard finished with 24 points, including a crucial scoring run in the fourth quarter.
Booker remains the central figure in Phoenix's attack, but he is receiving increasingly valuable support. Jalen Green contributed 16 points against Houston, while Miles Bridges recorded 13 points, ten rebounds and seven assists. Dillon Brooks provides additional defensive intensity, and Luke Kennard offers an important perimeter shooting option.
However, the Suns' biggest concern remains their defensive consistency, particularly around the basket. They are allowing approximately 119 points per game this season and have struggled to control the rebounding battle against physically stronger opponents.
The personnel situation makes this issue even more significant. Starting center Mark Williams remains unavailable following shoulder surgery, leaving Oso Ighodaro and young Khaman Maluach with additional responsibilities in the paint. Jordan Goodwin has been listed as doubtful because of a calf problem, while Rasheer Fleming is dealing with an ankle injury and is questionable.
These limitations are especially concerning ahead of a meeting with one of the NBA's most dangerous interior players.
San Antonio Spurs: Wembanyama drives an impressive winning streak
San Antonio arrive in Phoenix in outstanding form. After losing their opening two games, Mitch Johnson's team have put together eight consecutive victories, improving to 8-2 and establishing themselves among the Western Conference leaders.
The Spurs have been particularly impressive away from home, winning all four of their road games so far.
Their latest performance was another demonstration of their potential. San Antonio defeated the Portland Trail Blazers 125-103, dominating the middle quarters and effectively deciding the contest before the final period.
Victor Wembanyama was once again the outstanding performer. The French superstar scored 29 points in just 24 minutes, shooting 9-for-13 from the field and 3-for-6 from beyond the arc. His combination of height, mobility and perimeter shooting creates an enormous challenge for opposing defenses.
Importantly, San Antonio's success is not dependent on Wembanyama alone. Devin Vassell scored 15 points against Portland, while Stephon Castle and Julian Champagnie contributed 14 apiece. Dylan Harper added 13 points, and De'Aaron Fox continues to provide speed and playmaking from the backcourt.
The Spurs also possess impressive defensive versatility. Wembanyama protects the rim, while Castle and Fox can pressure opposing ball handlers and force uncomfortable possessions.
Regarding availability, Tobias Harris remains sidelined with a calf injury, while Jayden Quaintance is recovering from knee surgery. Nevertheless, San Antonio's principal offensive weapons are available, allowing Johnson to maintain a well-balanced rotation.
Key trends and head-to-head statistics
- San Antonio have won eight consecutive NBA games and hold an 8-2 record.
- The Spurs remain unbeaten away from home this season, with four victories in four road games.
- San Antonio scored 124 and 125 points in their two most recent outings.
- Phoenix have won two consecutive games after losing five of their opening six.
- The Suns average approximately 112.4 points scored and 118.6 conceded per game.
- The teams split their four regular-season meetings in 2025/26, with the home side winning each encounter.
Prediction: San Antonio's offensive quality could push the total higher
San Antonio enter this matchup as the stronger and more consistent team. Their eight-game winning streak reflects an excellent balance between defensive organization, aggressive transition play and individual attacking quality.
Phoenix have improved considerably over their last two games, but their lack of depth at center could prove costly against Wembanyama. Without Williams, the Suns face a difficult challenge containing the Frenchman's scoring near the basket, offensive rebounding and ability to stretch the floor.
At the same time, Phoenix possess enough offensive talent to contribute significantly to the scoreboard. Booker is capable of controlling long stretches of a game, while Green, Bridges and Kennard provide additional scoring options.
The Suns' recent defensive performances demonstrate that a lower-scoring contest is possible. However, San Antonio's ability to generate points through multiple players, combined with Phoenix's season-long defensive vulnerabilities, makes a total above 223 points a reasonable expectation.
Prediction: Over 223.5 total points.
