Can the hosts’ defense hold off the attacking leader? Prediction for Montreal vs Inter Miami

CF Montreal vs Inter Miami CF prediction Photo: MLSsoccer.com / Author unknown
CF Montreal CF Montreal
MLS USA (Round 17) 25 july 2026, 19:30
Finished
0 : 1
USA, Montreal, Saputo Stadium
Inter Miami CF Inter Miami CF
81' (P)
Luis Suarez

The Matchday 17 clash of the MLS regular season between Montreal and Inter Miami is set for July 25, 2026, at Saputo Stadium in Montreal. The hosts haven’t tasted league victory since early May and currently sit 13th in the Eastern Conference, while the reigning MLS Cup holders have surged to second place after racking up five consecutive wins.

Montreal: solid defense yet victories remain elusive

Midweek, Philippe Ellafroua’s side suffered a narrow 0-1 defeat to Nashville. In each of their four July fixtures, Montreal have conceded no more than a single goal, but the playoff zone is still four points away, with four teams to leapfrog.

The home field factor is crucial for Montreal. Three of their four wins this season have come at Saputo Stadium, conceding just once in those matches. Over their last six home games, the team has lost just once.

For the upcoming match, Josh Nteziriyaio, Bode Hidalgo, Wikelman Carmona, and Thomas Guillet, all struggling with lower body issues, may be unavailable. That likely means another start in goal for Sebastian Breza.

Inter Miami: comeback wins becoming a trademark

In the previous round, Inter Miami conceded first against Chicago Fire but rallied to claim a 3-2 victory. For Ángel Guillermo Hoyos’ squad, it was their third comeback win of the season and their fifth straight MLS triumph.

The Florida side has been especially impressive on the road, already securing seven away victories - a league-best mark. Another win would stretch Inter’s streak to six and set a new club record for the regular season.

Lionel Messi and Rodrigo De Paul could return after the World Cup final, but are likely to start from the bench. Gonzalo Luján, Maximiliano Falcón, David Ayala, and Tadeo Allende remain doubtful, while Dayne St. Clair may reclaim his spot in goal after Rocco Ríos Novo’s costly error against Chicago.

Match facts and head-to-head stats

  • Inter Miami have won five straight league matches.
  • The Florida club has beaten Montreal in their last three meetings, scoring 11 goals in the process.
  • Luis Suárez netted a brace against Chicago in his 100th appearance for Inter Miami.

The visitors’ attack should be decisive: Montreal vs Inter Miami prediction

Montreal have tightened up defensively, but a solid backline alone isn’t enough to overcome Inter. The hosts average just 0.94 points per match, and their extended winless streak highlights major issues in both chance creation and finishing.

Inter Miami have the tools to win even without Messi in the starting eleven. Suárez is in top form, the team is confident on the road, and they regularly step up after slow starts. Montreal’s improved defense will have a tough time holding off the visitors for the full 90 minutes.

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