Can Sassuolo Extend Their Home Record Against Milan? Sassuolo vs Milan Prediction | October 11, 2026
Sassuolo will host Milan at the Mapei Stadium on October 11 in the sixth round of Serie A. Both sides have made solid starts to the season, with Milan still unbeaten in the league and Sassuolo winning both of their home matches. However, the hosts' defensive issues and their recent scoring trends suggest that Milan could face a difficult but potentially entertaining encounter.
Match Preview
Sassuolo have made a reasonably positive start to the new campaign. After losing to Atalanta in the opening round of Serie A, they beat Torino, drew with Bologna and secured an impressive victory over Juventus. Their most recent league match ended in a 2-1 defeat away to Monza. Sassuolo have also progressed to the Coppa Italia round of 16, where they will face Juventus.
After five rounds, Sassuolo sit 10th in the Serie A table with seven points from two wins, one draw and two defeats. They have scored nine goals and conceded nine, reflecting their ability to contribute in attack but also their vulnerability at the back.
Their home form has been particularly encouraging, with victories in both of their league matches at the Mapei Stadium. Sassuolo have also avoided defeat in their last three home meetings with Milan, recording one win and two draws.
Defensive consistency remains a concern for Sassuolo. They have conceded in six consecutive matches, while both teams have scored in each of their last six games. Over 2.5 goals have also been recorded in six of their last seven official matches. Sassuolo have opened the scoring in four of their last five outings, showing that they can start matches strongly even when their defensive problems persist.
- Possible Sassuolo Lineup: Murić, Cinquegrano, Ćaleta-Car, Leysen, Doig, Thorstvedt, Matić, Adžić, Berardi, Esposito, Laurienté.
Milan have enjoyed a stronger start to their Serie A campaign and remain unbeaten after five rounds. They have recorded three wins and two draws, with the latter coming against Juventus and Lazio. Their victories came against Torino, Venezia and Lecce, whom they defeated 3-0 in their most recent league outing.
Milan currently sit fifth in the table with 11 points, having scored 10 goals and conceded just four. Their only defeat of the season came in European competition, when they lost 2-0 at home to Benfica.
Away from home, Milan have collected one win and two draws in three matches.
- Possible Milan Lineup: Maignan, Gila, De Winter, Pavlović, Bartesaghi, Chukwueze, Rabiot, Modrić, Moreira, Pulišić, Ramos.
Head-to-Head
Milan have the stronger overall record across 26 official meetings, winning 13 matches compared with Sassuolo's eight, while five encounters have ended in draws. Milan have scored 48 goals in these fixtures, against 39 for Sassuolo.
The record at the Mapei Stadium is more balanced. Across 13 meetings in Reggio Emilia, Sassuolo have won six times, Milan have recorded five away victories and two matches have ended level.
Sassuolo won the most recent meeting at home, beating Milan 2-0 on May 3, 2026. However, Milan's biggest victory in this fixture came in the Coppa Italia, when they won 6-1 on December 3, 2024.
In the last 10 meetings, Sassuolo have recorded four wins, Milan have won three and three matches have been drawn. Both teams scored in three of the last four encounters, while over 3.5 goals were recorded in three of those four games. Milan have also conceded in each of their last four meetings with Sassuolo.
Key Trends
- Sassuolo have won both of their Serie A home matches this season.
- Sassuolo have conceded in 6 consecutive matches.
- Both teams scored in each of Sassuolo's last 6 matches.
- Over 2.5 goals were scored in 6 of Sassuolo's last 7 official matches.
- Milan are unbeaten in their first 5 Serie A matches this season.
- Sassuolo have avoided defeat in their last 3 home meetings with Milan.
- Both teams scored in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.
Prediction
Sassuolo's home form gives them a genuine chance of making this a competitive contest. Sassuolo have won both of their Serie A home matches this season. They also beat Milan 2-0 in their most recent home meeting in May 2026. However, their defensive record remains a weakness, with goals conceded in six consecutive matches and both teams scoring in each of their last six outings. Milan have been more consistent in the league, remaining unbeaten after five rounds. The head-to-head numbers provide further support for the possibility of goals at both ends. Both teams scored in three of the last four meetings, and Milan have conceded in their last four encounters with Sassuolo. Given Sassuolo's strong home results, Milan's unbeaten league start and the hosts' ongoing defensive issues, both sides have reasons to expect scoring opportunities. Recommended Bet: Both Teams to Score — Yes
