Can Norway get revenge? Prediction for the match against Portugal on October 4

Portugal vs Norway prediction Marius Nordnes / Nordnes Foto/Getty Images
UEFA Nations League A (Round 4) 04 oct 2026, 14:45
- : -
International, Porto, Estadio do Dragao

Sunday, October 4, will bring European football fans a thrilling showdown in the fourth round of the UEFA Nations League: in the top division, Portugal will host Norway. This clash carries enormous significance for both national teams, who are eager to strengthen their positions at the halfway point of the group stage, where every goal, tactical decision and point gained could prove crucial to their prospects in the competition.

Portugal have been outstanding in this edition of the tournament, sitting comfortably at the top of the group with a maximum nine points from three matches. The "European Brazilians" have showcased spectacular, attacking and well-balanced football, built around a star-studded frontline, a creative midfield and a well-drilled defense. In their most recent head-to-head meeting, during the second round, the Portuguese had already demonstrated their superiority over their current opponents, securing a convincing 2-1 away win. On home soil, Jorge Jesus' men intend to take the initiative once again, raise the tempo and deploy a high press.

Norway sit third in the standings with three points from three rounds. The Scandinavian side possess immense attacking potential thanks to their star-studded forward line, but they have serious problems in defense, which were particularly evident in their second-round defeat to Portugal. The visitors face an extremely difficult away trip, where they will look to remain highly disciplined in a mid-block, relying on quick counterattacks and set pieces near the opposition goal.

The tactical script of the match will be dictated entirely by the hosts, who are expected to take total control of possession. Norway will respond with fierce battles in midfield and attacks down the flanks. Given that neither team has been particularly convincing defensively, I expect an intense encounter with plenty of goals.

Prediction

I believe the teams will produce an entertaining, high-scoring match with plenty of goals. My prediction: both teams to score – YES at 1.52

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.52
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