Can Netherlands End Germany's Recent Dominance? Netherlands vs Germany Prediction | September 24, 2026
Netherlands will host Germany on September 24 in the opening round of the UEFA Nations League in League A. Both teams played their last official match in the World Cup last 16, making this their first game since their respective exits from the tournament. The fixture also marks the beginning of new eras for both national sides.
Match Preview
Netherlands had a strong group-stage campaign at the World Cup, drawing with Japan and beating Tunisia and Sweden to finish top of their group. They scored 10 goals across those three matches before being eliminated by Morocco on penalties in the last 16.
The Dutch have also been consistent performers in the Nations League. In the previous edition, they reached the quarter-finals, where they were eliminated by Spain on penalties. They also remain unbeaten in their last 12 home Nations League group-stage matches, recording eight wins and four draws.
This will be the first official match for Xavi as Netherlands head coach after replacing Ronald Koeman.
- Possible Netherlands Lineup: Verbruggen, Dumfries, Van Dijk, Van Hecke, Timber, Gravenberch, Reijnders, Van de Ven, Summerville, Brobbey, Gakpo
Germany also reached the last 16 at the World Cup, beating Ivory Coast and Curacao but losing to Ecuador in the group stage before being eliminated by Paraguay on penalties.
Their previous Nations League campaign was more successful. Germany finished top of their group with 14 points, eliminated Italy in the quarter-finals and then lost to Portugal in the semi-finals before suffering a 2-0 defeat to France in the third-place match.
The biggest storyline around Germany is the arrival of Jurgen Klopp. The former Liverpool manager is taking charge of his first official match as Germany head coach after replacing Julian Nagelsmann.
- Possible Germany Lineup: Nübel, Kimmich, Schlotterbeck, Tah, Brown, Nmecha, Amiri, Musiala, Karl, Gnabry, Havertz
Head-to-Head
The overall history between the two nations is remarkably balanced. Germany have won 18 of their 48 meetings, while Netherlands have recorded 12 victories and 18 matches have ended in draws.
Recent encounters have been much closer, although Germany have had the better results. Netherlands have won only one of their last seven meetings, with three draws and three German victories.
The teams also met twice in the previous Nations League campaign. Netherlands held Germany to a 2-2 draw in Amsterdam, while Germany won 1-0 in Munich.
Goals have been a consistent feature of this fixture. Both teams scored in six of the last seven meetings, while four of those seven matches produced more than 3.5 goals.
In the Nations League specifically, the teams have met four times. Netherlands have one win, Germany have one, and two matches ended in draws.
Key Trends
- Netherlands are unbeaten in their last 12 home Nations League group-stage matches.
- Netherlands have won only one of their last seven meetings with Germany.
- Both teams scored in 6 of the last 7 H2H encounters.
- Four of the last seven meetings produced more than 3.5 goals.
Prediction
Both teams begin a new chapter with different coaches, which adds an extra layer of uncertainty to the opening match. Netherlands have the advantage of playing at home and have an excellent record in Nations League group-stage matches on their own ground, while Germany arrive with a new manager and a squad containing several players being assessed for the future. The recent history between these sides strongly suggests an open contest. Both teams have regularly found the net against each other, and the last meetings have produced goals on a consistent basis. Germany's defensive structure under Klopp will be an interesting aspect of the match, but the visitors possess enough attacking quality to create problems for the Dutch. With both sides starting a new era and their recent head-to-head record producing plenty of goals, another entertaining encounter looks possible. Recommended Bet: Over 3 Total Goals
