Can Germany Return to Winning Ways Against Greece? Germany vs Greece Prediction | September 27, 2026
Germany will host Greece on September 27 in the second round of the UEFA Nations League League A, Group 2. Greece currently lead the group after the opening round, while Germany will be looking for their first victory of the campaign and an opportunity to move to the top of the table.
Match Preview
Germany began the new Nations League campaign under new head coach Jürgen Klopp. His first match in charge came away against the Netherlands, where Germany took the lead and remained competitive throughout the game before conceding late to draw 1-1. The result extended their winless run to three matches. Before that, Germany competed at the World Cup, losing to Ecuador and drawing with Paraguay. They are currently 12th in the FIFA rankings and continue to have one of the strongest squads in European football.
In the previous Nations League campaign, Germany finished first in their group before defeating Italy in the quarter-finals. They then lost to Portugal in the semi-finals and suffered another defeat against France in the third-place match.
The head-to-head record also strongly favours Germany. The teams have met 10 times in total, with Greece never beating Germany. Germany have also won their last four meetings. Their most recent official encounters took place some time ago, although the sides did meet in a friendly in 2024.
Greece competed in League B in the previous Nations League campaign. They finished second in a group containing England, Ireland and Finland before beating Scotland in the promotion play-off to move up to League A. Greece currently sit 46th in the FIFA rankings.
They failed to qualify for the World Cup after finishing third in their qualifying group behind Scotland and Denmark. As a result, the Nations League provides Greece with an opportunity to compete against some of Europe's strongest national teams.
Greece made an excellent start to the new campaign by beating Serbia away from home. They conceded in the fourth minute but responded strongly, equalising in the 74th minute before scoring the winning goal in the fifth minute of stoppage time. The victory put Greece at the top of the group after the opening round.
However, Greece have conceded in each of their last three matches. Germany also have defensive concerns, having allowed at least one goal in each of their last six games. At the same time, eight of Germany's last 10 matches have produced more than 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in each of their last six.
Germany have also found the net in six of their last eight matches, so their attacking potential was once again evident in the draw with the Netherlands. Their first home game of the new Nations League campaign gives them an opportunity to return to winning ways after three matches without a victory.
Key Trends
- Germany are winless in their last three matches.
- Greece have conceded in their last three matches.
- Both teams have scored in Germany's last six matches.
- 8 of Germany's last 10 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Greece have never beaten Germany in 10 previous meetings.
- Germany have won the last 4 head-to-head encounters.
Prediction
Greece showed impressive character against Serbia, but Germany represent a significantly tougher challenge. The hosts have the stronger squad, home advantage and a dominant historical record in this fixture. After drawing with the Netherlands in Klopp's first match, Germany should have enough quality to control the game and create more chances against a Greek side that has conceded in each of its last three matches. Recommended Bet: Germany -1 Asian Handicap
