Can Freiburg End Their Losing Run Against Wolfsburg? Freiburg vs Wolfsburg Prediction | October 28, 2026
Freiburg host Wolfsburg on October 28 in the round of 32 of the DFB-Pokal. The hosts have lost three consecutive matches across all competitions, while Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last five games. Freiburg have enjoyed a stronger Bundesliga campaign and hold the advantage in recent head-to-head meetings, but both teams have shown a tendency to concede goals, which could make this an open cup tie.
Freiburg
Freiburg head into this fixture after a 3–1 home defeat to Bayern Munich, their second consecutive loss in the Bundesliga following a setback against Bayer Leverkusen. Including their Conference League defeat to Monaco, Freiburg have now lost three matches in a row across all competitions.
Their European campaign has produced mixed results. Freiburg beat Jablonec but lost to Monaco in their opening two Conference League matches, leaving them 18th in the competition's standings.
Despite their recent setbacks, Freiburg have made a strong start to the Bundesliga season. After seven rounds, they sit third with 13 points, having scored 16 goals and conceded nine. Their home record has been particularly encouraging: before losing to Bayern, they had won three consecutive matches on their own ground.
Freiburg also began their DFB-Pokal campaign with a convincing 5–1 victory over Düsseldorf. They reached the semifinals last season before losing to Stuttgart, while their previous campaign ended in the round of 16 against Arminia Bielefeld.
However, their home record against Wolfsburg has been less impressive. In their last four home meetings with this opponent, Freiburg have recorded one win, one draw and two defeats. Their overall recent head-to-head record is more positive, though, as they are unbeaten in their last four encounters with Wolfsburg.
Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg are competing in the 2. Bundesliga after finishing 16th in the previous campaign and subsequently losing their relegation playoff against Paderborn. They have made a reasonably strong start to life in the second division, although their performances have lacked consistency.
Their latest match ended in a draw against Bochum. Before that, Wolfsburg beat Heidenheim 3–1 and played out a remarkable 4–4 draw with Nuremberg. These results highlight their attacking potential but also underline their defensive shortcomings.
After nine rounds, Wolfsburg sit fourth with 16 points, nine behind league leaders Hertha. They have scored 23 goals, the highest total in the division, but have also conceded 14.
Wolfsburg needed a penalty shootout to get past regional-league side Altglienicke in the first round of the DFB-Pokal after the teams could not be separated in regular time. Their cup campaigns have also varied in recent years: they were eliminated in the round of 32 by Holstein Kiel last season but reached the quarterfinals in 2024–25 before losing to RB Leipzig.
Wolfsburg's recent matches have frequently featured plenty of goals. At least four goals were scored in six of their last eight games, while both teams found the net in seven of those.
Head-to-Head
Freiburg have won six of the last 10 meetings with Wolfsburg, while the visitors have recorded three victories and one match ended in a draw. Freiburg are unbeaten in their last four encounters, winning three and drawing one.
Goals have also been a regular feature of this matchup. Both teams have scored in each of Freiburg's last four home meetings with Wolfsburg, and at least three goals were scored in three of those four games. Wolfsburg have conceded in eight consecutive head-to-head encounters, while both teams scored in four of the last five meetings.
Key Trends
- Freiburg have lost their last 3 matches across all competitions.
- Freiburg have conceded in their last 6 matches.
- Freiburg's last 7 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Wolfsburg are unbeaten in their last 5 matches.
- 3 of Wolfsburg's last 4 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
- Freiburg are unbeaten in their last 4 head-to-head meetings with Wolfsburg.
- Both teams have scored in Freiburg's last 4 home meetings with Wolfsburg.
Prediction
Freiburg will be looking to end their losing run, and the DFB-Pokal offers them an opportunity to respond on home soil. Their third-place position in the Bundesliga, strong scoring record and three wins in four home league matches provide reasons for confidence. They have also enjoyed recent success against Wolfsburg, remaining unbeaten in their last four meetings. Wolfsburg, however, have enough attacking quality to make the contest difficult for the hosts. Their 23 goals in nine second-division matches represent the best scoring record in the league, and they have found the net in four consecutive games. Their defensive record is less convincing, with 14 goals conceded in nine rounds, while their recent matches have regularly featured goals at both ends. Both teams have defensive weaknesses, and Freiburg have conceded in six consecutive matches. The hosts' recent head-to-head advantage and stronger league campaign give them a solid platform, but Wolfsburg's scoring form could prevent Freiburg from controlling the game completely. With both sides capable of creating chances and recent meetings often producing goals, an entertaining encounter is possible. Recommended Bet: Over 3 Total Goals
