Cagliari vs Genoa Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups - March 7, 2025

Cagliari vs Genoa prediction Photo: legaseriea.it / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 28) 07 mar 2025, 14:45
Finished
1 : 1
Italy, Cagliari, Unipol Domus
Nicolas Viola
18'
47'
Maxwel Cornet

The 28th round of the Italian Championship will kick off at the Unipol Domus arena, where local team Cagliari will host Genoa. I suggest betting on goals in this matchup with good chances for success.

Match Preview

In the last round, Davide Nicola's men visited Bologna and lost 1-2. This defeat marked Cagliari's fourth in their last six league matches, where the team managed only one win and one draw. Notably, the Sardinians conceded more than one goal for the first time in four Serie A rounds.

Despite another setback, Cagliari continues to hold the 15th position in the standings with 25 points. However, their defense leaves much to be desired, having conceded 23 goals at home, second only to Verona (30). In their last nine home league matches, Cagliari won only three times, suffered five defeats, and drew once.

Patrick Vieira's team drew 1-1 with Empoli at home in the last round, extending their successful run to three of the last four Serie A rounds. The only loss in this stretch came in an away game against Inter (0-1), while in the other two matches, they picked up four points (1 win and 2 draws).

Genoa holds the 12th position in the standings with 31 points, but their attacking issues on the road remain unresolved. With ten away goals, Genoa is behind almost all opponents in this metric, ahead of only Lecce (9). Moreover, the team hasn't won in their last five away Serie A matches, drawing twice and losing three times.

Probable Lineups

  • Cagliari: Elia Caprile – Gabriele Zappa, Yerry Mina, Sebastiano Luperto, Tommaso Augello – Adam Obert, Michel Adopo, Antoine Makoumbou, Nadir Zortea – Zito Luvumbo, Roberto Piccoli
  • Genoa: Nicola Leali – Aaron Martin Caricol, Johan Vasquez, Mattia Bani, Koni De Winter – Fabio Miretti, Morten Frendrup – Junior Messias, Patrizio Masini, Alessandro Zanoli – Andrea Pinamonti

Match Facts and Head-to-Head

  • In the first round, Genoa drew 2-2 at home against Cagliari
  • The "Over 2.5 goals" bet won in the last three matches
  • The "Both teams to score" bet won in two out of five matches

Prediction

Bookmakers favor the home team, offering odds of 2.50 for a Cagliari win. Both teams are hard to call prolific in this championship, so our bet is "Under 2.5 goals" with odds of 1.70.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.7
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