Cagliari vs Como: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – 07 March 2026
The 28th round of the 2025/26 Italian Serie A will take place on Sunday, March 8, at the "Unipol Domus" stadium. In this clash, Sardinian side Cagliari will host Como. The hosts are fighting to steer clear of the relegation battle, while Como, under the guidance of Cesc Fàbregas, have become the sensation of the season, mounting a genuine challenge for a Champions League spot.
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Match preview
Cagliari, managed by Fabio Pisacane, sit 13th in the table (30 points) and have recently shown impressive resilience. In the last round, the Sardinians snatched a point from Parma with a 1-1 draw, and before that, they played out a goalless draw with Lazio. At home, Cagliari have become a fortress, already managing to beat Juventus (1-0) and thrash Verona 4-0 in 2026. Pisacane has managed to stabilize the defense, focusing on compactness and quick attacks down the flanks.
However, the squad situation for the hosts remains challenging. The injury list is still lengthy: Andrea Belotti, Mattia Felici, and defensive leader Yerry Mina remain sidelined. The participation of midfielders Deiola and Gaetano is also in doubt. In the absence of key creators, Cagliari will likely opt for a 4-4-2 formation, aiming to slow down the tempo and deny Como’s technical players any space.
Como are undoubtedly the revelation of this campaign. Sitting fifth in the table, Cesc Fàbregas’s side play the boldest football in the league. In January, Como made history by destroying Torino 6-0, and at the end of February, they confidently dispatched Lecce 3-1. The visitors’ style is based on total possession and high intensity. Como have already proven themselves on the road this season, hammering Torino 5-1 and defeating Fiorentina.
Still, the trip to Sardinia will be a real test for the visitors. Talented youngster Jayden Addai is out with a ruptured Achilles tendon. Fàbregas knows that Cagliari at home can "shut down" even the league’s giants, so Como will need patience. Considering the teams played out a goalless draw in the first half of the season, expect the visitors to learn their lessons and try to be more aggressive in the final third in order to break down Cagliari’s packed defense.
Key facts and head-to-head
- Cagliari are winless in their last four matches.
- In four of Cagliari’s last five matches, fewer than three goals have been scored.
- Como, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last four games.
- In five of Como’s last seven matches, fewer than three goals have been scored.
- In seven of the last eight official meetings between these sides, fewer than three goals have been scored.
- The first-round match between these teams ended in a goalless 0-0 draw.
Probable lineups
- Cagliari: Caprile – Pedro, Rodríguez, Dossena, Obert – Palestra, Adopo, Sulemana, Idrissi – Folorunsho, Esposito
- Como: Butez – Smolčić, Ramón, Kempf, Valle – Da Cunha, Perrone, Paz – Vojvoda, Diao, Douvikas
Prediction
On paper, Como look like favorites thanks to their attacking firepower and lofty league position. However, Cagliari at the "Unipol Domus" are a tough nut to crack, with a knack for neutralizing the strengths of the top teams. Given the hosts’ attacking absences and their cautious approach against elite sides, as well as the result from the reverse fixture, a goal-fest seems unlikely. This match could be decided by a single moment. My prediction: Total under 2.5 goals.
