Burnley vs Chelsea prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 22, 2025
One of the fixtures of Premier League matchday 12 will take place on Saturday at Turf Moor in Burnley, where the hosts will take on London’s Chelsea. Here’s my betting tip for this clash, factoring in both teams’ current form and their stats.
Match preview
Burnley head into this encounter with serious problems: the team has lost its last two games, conceding five goals in the process. At home, the Clarets just can’t seem to sort out their defense, and their average of two goals conceded per match is among the worst in the league. Of their three wins this season, two came against newly promoted sides, underlining their reliance on weaker opponents.
Offensively, Burnley are inconsistent but often involved in games where both teams score: this scenario has played out in 12 of their last 17 matches. However, even their attacking output isn’t enough to secure points, as defensive errors almost always negate their efforts up front.
Chelsea have found impressive momentum: two consecutive wins without conceding and four victories in their last five games. The Blues are firmly positioned in the upper reaches of the table, and their gap to the top still keeps title hopes alive. Their attacking improvement has been especially notable, despite a recent surprise slip against Sunderland.
The team’s playing philosophy is increasingly paying off away from home: defeats are rare, and points are consistently picked up. It’s also worth noting Chelsea’s dominance over Burnley — unbeaten in their last 11 league meetings. Most of those victories have come thanks to clinical finishing.
Probable lineups
- Burnley: Martin Dubravka; Axel Tuanzebe; Kyle Walker; Quillindcy Hartman; Maxime Esteve; Lesley Ugochukwu; Florentino; Josh Cullen; Loum Chaouna; Jaidon Anthony; Zian Flemming
- Chelsea: Robert Sanchez; Malo Gusto; Trevoh Chalobah; Wesley Fofana; Marc Cucurella; Enzo Fernandez; Moises Caicedo; Alejandro Garnacho; Joao Pedro Jesus; Pedro Neto; Liam Delap.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Chelsea are unbeaten against Burnley in the Premier League for 11 matches.
- Burnley have conceded two or more goals in 14 of their last 17 matches.
- Seven of Chelsea’s last eight games have featured at least three goals.
Prediction
The Londoners are in excellent form and know how to exploit their opponent’s weaknesses, especially at the back. Burnley continue to make defensive errors and rarely keep a clean sheet. Given the head-to-head stats and recent dynamics, the optimal bet looks to be Chelsea’s individual total over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.63.
