Burnley - Newcastle: Can anyone secure a win in the last match of the year?

Finished
1 : 3
England, Burnley, Turf Moor
Josh Laurent
23'
2'
Joelinton
7'
Yoane Wissa
90' + 3
Bruno Guimaraes

In the 19th round of the English Premier League, Burnley will face Newcastle. The match will take place on Tuesday, December 30, kicking off at 20:30 CET. Here’s a look at the key stats and my betting suggestion.

Burnley - Newcastle: Match facts and head-to-head

  • Burnley has failed to win in nine consecutive matches: seven losses and two draws.
  • In nine of their last ten games, Burnley has conceded at least once.
  • Newcastle has gone winless in their last two matches and has only one victory in five games.
  • Newcastle has failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 consecutive matches.
  • In away games, Newcastle lost their last two matches.
  • Burnley has the second-worst defense in the Premier League, conceding 34 goals.
  • Burnley also has the third-worst attack in the league, scoring just 19 goals.
  • Only 7% of Newcastle’s matches this season have ended with them losing without scoring, compared to 25% for Burnley.
  • Newcastle has more clean-sheet wins: 22% versus Burnley’s 10%.
  • Newcastle defeated Burnley 2-1 in their last meeting. The last time Burnley beat the Magpies was in 2021.

Burnley - Newcastle: Match preview

Burnley has returned to the Premier League and is currently fighting to avoid relegation. After 18 rounds, the team has 12 points, sitting in 19th place. They are six points behind 17th position. The gap is significant but still manageable. However, the problem is that Burnley is currently on a nine-match winless streak, which clearly affects this deficit. The Clarets need to collect points more consistently and secure victories if they want to stay in the Premier League.

Newcastle is in the mid-table and has shown inconsistent form so far this season. After 14 rounds, they have 23 points and sit in 14th place. Despite this position, the Magpies are only six points behind fifth place. So, the situation for Newcastle is far from critical. The table is tight, and any defeat or dropped points can either push a team down or lift them up significantly.

Probable line-ups

  • Burnley: Dubravka; Laurent, Ekdal, Humphreys; Walker, Ugochukwu, Florentino, Pires; Edwards, Broja, Bruun Larsen
  • Newcastle: Ramsdale; Miley, Thiaw, Schar, Hall; Guimaraes, Tonali, Ramsey; Murphy, Woltemade, Gordon

Prediction

Newcastle travels to face a team in the relegation zone, where it will clearly not be easy. Both teams are not in their best form but want to end the season strongly. The Magpies have a solid squad, but playing away at Burnley, as mentioned, will be challenging. The recommended bet is for both teams to score.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.8
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