Brighton vs Manchester United: prediction, H2H and probable lineups — 24.05.2026
One of the key fixtures of the Premier League's Matchday 38 will take place this Sunday at the Falmer Stadium in Brighton, where the home side Brighton will host Manchester United. Here’s our prediction for this clash: the hosts’ motivation and the visitors’ away inconsistency make this game especially intriguing from a betting perspective.
Match preview
Brighton complicated their own finish in the European qualification race: in the previous round, Fabian Hürzeler's team had the upper hand against Leeds, but conceded the decisive goal in the 96th minute and lost 0-1. That defeat was their second in the last three matches, leaving the Seagulls with almost no margin for error.
At home, however, Brighton look far more convincing than on the road: at Falmer Stadium, they have won four of their last five encounters, including matches against Liverpool and Chelsea. The loss of Kaoru Mitoma hurts their wing play, but the return of Mats Wieffer and Diego Gomez’s involvement give the coach more options ahead of the decisive fixture.
Manchester United have already secured third place and a Champions League spot, but this match is far from a dead rubber. Michael Carrick’s side have won four of their last five games, with two recent victories over Liverpool and Nottingham Forest both coming in thrilling 3-2 fashion.
The main storyline for the visitors is Bruno Fernandes, who is just one assist away from holding the Premier League single-season assist record outright. However, United have their issues: Casemiro, Matthijs de Ligt, and Benjamin Šeško are all sidelined, and away from home the Red Devils have won just three of their last ten games.
Probable lineups
- Brighton: Verbruggen, De Keyper, Van Hecke, Dunk, Wieffer, Gross, Baleba, Hinshelwood, Minteh, Kadioglu, Welbeck.
- Manchester United: Lammens, Dalot, Maguire, Martinez, Shaw, Mainoo, Mount, Fernandes, Diallo, Cunha, Mbeumo.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Brighton have won six of their last eight Premier League matches against Manchester United since spring 2022.
- Five of the last six Brighton home games against Man United have featured no more than three goals.
- Manchester United come into this fixture unbeaten in five matches, but have won just three of their last ten away trips.
Prediction
Brighton enter the match with sharper motivation: the European spots are within reach, but after slipping up against Leeds, the hosts can’t afford any more mistakes. Hürzeler's side at home can overwhelm opponents with their tempo and intensity, especially facing a team that has already achieved its main season objective. United remain dangerous thanks to Fernandes, Cunha, Mbeumo, and their overall attacking form, but injuries and poor away results cast doubt on the visitors’ reliability.
