Brighton vs Burnley prediction, H2H and probable lineups - January 3, 2026

Brighton vs Burnley prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Finished
2 : 0
England, Brighton, The American Express Community Stadium
Georginio Rutter
29'
Yasin Ayari
47'

One of the matches of the 20th round of the English Premier League will take place on Saturday at the Amex Stadium in Brighton, where the home side will face Burnley. Let's take a closer look at this clash and consider a betting tip with solid chances of success.

Match preview

Brighton continue their inconsistent run in the league, now going six matches without a win. In their last outing, Danny Welbeck let the Seagulls down by missing a second penalty against West Ham, resulting in only a draw. Over the past six games, the team has conceded 11 goals—more than in their previous ten fixtures—and their attacking efficiency has also declined.

Nevertheless, Brighton remain a tough side at home, losing just once in nine games at the Amex. The hosts tend to step up after the break, with 20 of their 28 goals this season coming in the second half. Even with injury issues, Fabian Hürzeler's side are clear favourites against the relegation strugglers.

Burnley are sinking deeper into the drop zone, having lost to Newcastle in their last match of 2025 despite a decent spell after the opening half hour. The club have picked up just two points from their last ten matches, and the gap to safety in 17th place has stretched to six points. Defensive problems remain a major concern—Burnley have conceded at least two goals in seven of their last ten games.

Scott Parker is facing major selection headaches: injuries and several players away at the Africa Cup of Nations have thinned his squad. The only silver lining is that Burnley have not lost to Brighton in their last three head-to-heads. However, in their current form, even a draw on the road would be an achievement.

Probable lineups

  • Brighton: Verbruggen, Veltman, Van Hecke, Dunk, Kadioglu, Ayari, Hinshelwood, Gruda, Gomez, De Keijper, Welbeck
  • Burnley: Dubravka, Laurent, Ekdal, Humphreys, Walker, Ugochukwu, Luis, Pires, Edwards, Broja, Tchaouna

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Brighton have not won any of their last six Premier League matches.
  • Burnley have picked up just two points from their last ten rounds.
  • Brighton have failed to beat Burnley in their last three head-to-head meetings.

Prediction

Both teams are going through a rough patch, but Brighton have home advantage and a more organized approach. Burnley could snatch a draw, but their defensive frailties may cost them once again.

Prediction on game W2(+1.5)
Odds: 1.65
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