Borussia Dortmund vs Werder prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 13 January 2026
One of the highlight fixtures of the 17th round of the German championship will take place on Tuesday at Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, where the local side Borussia will host Werder. I suggest betting on goals in this clash, as the odds of success look promising.
Match preview
You could say that Borussia Dortmund come into this match in reasonably good form, but a persistent issue for Croatian coach Niko Kovač’s side remains the high number of draws. In the previous round against Eintracht, Dortmund recorded their sixth draw of the Bundesliga season—the highest tally in the league, tied with Mainz. Paradoxically, Mainz are sitting at the bottom of the table, while Dortmund are holding onto second place.
Despite this, the Black and Yellows maintain a strong position and are four points clear of their closest pursuer, RB Leipzig. However, Leipzig have a game in hand after their fixture against St. Pauli was postponed due to adverse weather conditions in Hamburg. Given this, Borussia’s main objective is to secure second place, as Bayern Munich have all but locked up the top spot.
There is good news for Niko Kovač: following Algeria’s elimination from the Africa Cup of Nations in the quarterfinals (losing to Nigeria), defender Ramy Bensebaïni returns to the squad, providing a significant boost to the defense.
Werder, on the other hand, arrive in dreadful form. Under Horst Steffen, the team is on a five-match winless run—three defeats and two draws. Their last victory came back in early November 2025, when they edged out a struggling Wolfsburg 2-1.
Werder have been especially poor away from home. In eight Bundesliga away matches this season, they’ve picked up just six points, managing only one win—against Borussia Mönchengladbach. It’s doubtful that Bremen will be able to improve their dismal away record in Dortmund.
Match facts and head-to-head
- Borussia Dortmund are unbeaten in their last five matches.
- Borussia Dortmund have scored first in each of their last five games.
- Werder have conceded in all of their last three matches.
- In the last ten head-to-head encounters, Borussia have a clear edge: six wins for Dortmund, two for Werder, and two draws.
- The last meeting between these teams at Borussia’s ground ended in a 2-2 draw.
Probable lineups
- Borussia Dortmund: Kobel - Süle, Anton, Schlotterbeck - Ryerson, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Svensson - Beier, Brandt, Guirassy
- Werder: Backhaus - Stark, Friedl, Pieper - Sugawara, Stage, Lynen, Puertas, Schmidt - Njinmah, Schmid
Prediction
I expect this match to be high-scoring. Borussia are relentless going forward, but they also allow their opponents plenty of chances, as was clear in their last match against Eintracht. Considering this, the best bet here looks to be over 2.5 total goals.
