Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli prediction, H2H & Probable Line-ups - October 18, 2024

Dillan George Dailysports's expert Translated by the editors
Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli prediction DAZN
Bundesliga Germany (Round 7) 18 oct 2024, 14:30
Finished
2 : 1
Germany, Dortmund, Signal Iduna Park
Ramy Bensebaini
43'
Serhou Guirassy
83'
78'
Eric Smith

On Friday, October 18, Borussia Dortmund will host St. Pauli in the 7th round of the Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park. Kickoff is scheduled for 20:30 CET. The Dailysports analyst team has prepared a preview and betting tips for this intriguing matchup.

Borussia Dortmund

After reaching the Champions League final last season, expectations were sky-high for Borussia Dortmund. However, under Nuri Sahin, the team has had an inconsistent start to the campaign. After six rounds, the "Black and Yellows" sit in seventh place, trailing Bayern Munich by 4 points.

In their previous Bundesliga match, Dortmund suffered a 1-2 away defeat to Union Berlin. Prior to that, they narrowly beat Bochum 4-2 at home but were humiliated 1-5 by Stuttgart on the road. Despite their domestic struggles, Dortmund has been flawless in the Champions League, securing emphatic wins over Club Brugge (3-0) and Celtic (7-1), topping the standings across all 36 teams.

St. Pauli

St. Pauli are Bundesliga newcomers, having returned to Germany's top flight after a 13-year absence. Everyone acknowledges that the Hamburg-based "Pirates" face a tough battle to avoid relegation, especially after head coach Fabian Hürzeler's departure to Brighton.

In their first six Bundesliga matches, St. Pauli managed to collect just 4 points. They secured their first victory in the 4th round with a 3-0 away win over Freiburg, but they couldn’t build on that momentum, falling 0-3 to Mainz in the last round. These results leave St. Pauli just above the relegation zone in 15th place.

Match Facts

  • Borussia Dortmund is unbeaten in their last 34 home matches played on a Friday.
  • Dortmund’s only losses this season have come away from home.
  • Over 2.5 goals have been scored in 3 of St. Pauli’s last 4 matches.

Possible Lineups

  • Borussia Dortmund: Kobel – Ryerson, Anton, Schlotterbeck, Bensebaini – Sabitzer, Gross – Malen, Brandt, Gittens – Guirassy.
  • St. Pauli: Vasilj – Wahl, Smith, Mets – Saliakas, Irvine, Wagner, Ritzka – Afolayan, Eggestein, Guilavogui.

H2H

  • The last meeting between these teams occurred in the DFB-Pokal in 2022, where St. Pauli pulled off a shock 2-1 victory.
  • However, St. Pauli hasn't beaten Dortmund in the Bundesliga since 1989.

Borussia Dortmund vs St. Pauli prediction

Borussia Dortmund is a formidable force at home, while St. Pauli is a team on a completely different level. My prediction is for a high-scoring affair, with the bet on Over 3.5 goals being a solid choice.

Prediction on game Total over 3.5
Odds: 2
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