Borussia Dortmund vs Augsburg: prediction, head-to-head and probable line-ups – 14 March 2026
One of the key fixtures of the upcoming Bundesliga round will take place on Saturday at Dortmund's Signal Iduna Park, where the local side Borussia will host Augsburg. I’m offering a bet on the outcome of this clash, which comes with solid chances of success.
Match preview
Borussia Dortmund remain second in the table, but that status may be misleading at this stage. Their gap from Bayern Munich now looks too significant for any real title intrigue, and Nico Kovac’s side have a challenging schedule ahead. This means the Augsburg match is less about championship dreams and more about cold calculation in the fight for a guaranteed Champions League spot. The 2-1 win over Cologne in the previous round delivered the necessary boost after three matches without victory, and this was exactly the response Dortmund fans were hoping for in a critical moment.
The main weapon for the hosts right now is their attacking consistency and formidable home record. Borussia have scored at least two goals in each of their last 11 Bundesliga games, and have conceded only 11 goals at home—one of the best records in the league. While the absence of Can and Bensebaini limits their defensive flexibility, the trio of Süle, Anton, and Schlotterbeck look reliable enough to maintain the necessary balance.
Augsburg travel to Dortmund following a painful 1-2 defeat to Leipzig, where they dropped points in stoppage time. Even so, this result shouldn’t overshadow the visitors’ overall progress: before that, they had won three consecutive matches, scored six goals, and kept two clean sheets. Overall, they’ve looked much more organized in recent weeks compared to the first half of the season.
It’s especially noteworthy that Augsburg have not been toothless on the road. They’ve already beaten both Wolfsburg and even Bayern away, which means they don’t have a psychological barrier when playing in big stadiums. However, in Dortmund, any lapse in concentration at the back is punished instantly, and the visitors will need to play an almost flawless game to realistically contend for points.
Probable line-ups
- Borussia Dortmund: Kobel, Süle, Anton, N. Schlotterbeck, Ryerson, Sabitzer, Nmecha, Svensson, Bayer, Brandt, Guirassy
- Augsburg: Dahmen, Banks, K. Schlotterbeck, Zeziger, Fellhauer, Jakic, Massengo, Giannoulis, Reeder, Claude-Maurice, Ribeiro
Match facts and head-to-head
- Borussia have scored at least two goals in 11 consecutive Bundesliga matches.
- Dortmund have conceded just 11 goals at home in the league – one of the best defensive records.
- Last season, Augsburg won both Bundesliga matches against Borussia, but lost 0-1 in the first round of the current campaign.
Prediction
This doesn’t look like a match where the favorite will cruise without nerves. Augsburg are lively enough at the moment to cause Dortmund some problems, especially if the visitors can assert themselves in midfield battles and disrupt the flow of the game. But at home, Kovac’s side often apply such intense pressure that opponents start making unforced errors. Given the hosts’ attacking form, their quality at home, and the stakes in the table, Dortmund should ultimately secure all three points.
