Bologna - Napoli prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 9, 2025

Bologna vs SSC Napoli prediction Photo: attackingfootball.com / Author unknown
Serie A Italy (Round 11) 09 nov 2025, 09:00
Finished
2 : 0
Italy, Bologna, Stadio Renato Dell'Ara
Thijs Dallinga
50'
Jhon Lucumi
66'

One of the standout fixtures of Serie A’s 11th round takes place this Sunday at the Renato Dall’Ara stadium, where local side Bologna hosts league leaders Napoli. Here’s a betting tip on the total goals market with strong chances of success.

Match preview

The home side have looked confident so far this season. Their win over Parma in the previous round was their fourth in the last seven Serie A matches, and their unbeaten streak has now reached seven games. Their defensive solidity is especially impressive: in 10 of their last 11 home matches, Bologna have conceded no more than one goal.

However, their attacking potential seems somewhat limited. In their last eight matches at home, Bologna have only twice scored more than once. Most of the time, their offensive output is restricted to one or two goals — usually enough to secure points.

Napoli failed to break down Como in their last match, marking the first time since early October they haven’t found the net. Nevertheless, they remain atop the league table, showcasing consistency at the back and a pragmatic style of play. Napoli have lost just twice all season, and have kept a clean sheet in four matches so far.

On the road, Napoli play a restrained attacking game: only once in their last 11 Serie A away matches have they scored more than once. Their defense, however, remains top-notch — Napoli have conceded no more than one goal in 9 of their last 10 away games.

Probable lineups

  • Bologna: Skorupski, Miranda, Heggem, Lucumí, Holm, Rowe, Freuler, Pobega, Odgaard, Orsolini, Castro
  • Napoli: Milinković-Savić, Buongiorno, Rrahmani, Di Lorenzo, Spinazzola, Gilmour, McTominay, Zambo Anguissa, Neres, Politano, Højlund

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Bologna are unbeaten at home in 14 of their last 15 Serie A matches.
  • Napoli have scored more than one goal in just 2 of their last 11 Serie A away matches.
  • In 8 of Napoli’s last 10 away games, the total goals have been under 2.5.

Prediction

Both teams have shown a clear defensive mindset heading into this clash. Bologna are solid at the back at home, but rarely treat fans to a goal fest. Napoli are pragmatic on their travels, preferring to control the tempo and keep things tight at the back. In this context, expect a cautious, hard-fought contest where few chances could prove decisive. Our pick: Under 2.5 total goals at 1.61.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.61
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