Benfica vs Porto: prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups – March 8, 2026

Benfica vs FC Porto prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Finished
2 : 2
Portugal, Lisbon, Estadio da Luz
Andreas Schjelderup
69'
Leandro Barreiro
88'
10'
Victor Froholdt
40'
Oskar Pietuszewski

One of the headline clashes of matchday 25 in the Portuguese league will take place on Sunday at Estádio da Luz in Lisbon, where Benfica hosts Porto. Let's break down a bet on the outcome of this high-stakes Portuguese derby, which could have a huge impact on the title race.

Match preview

After a painful Champions League exit, Benfica quickly bounced back and returned to winning ways in the domestic league. In their last match, José Mourinho's side edged out Gil Vicente (2-1), preserving their status as the only team in the league yet to suffer a defeat this season. Thanks to a string of victories, the Eagles have closed the gap to Sporting to just three points and remain firmly in the hunt for the title.

Benfica have looked especially dominant at home. At Estádio da Luz in domestic competitions, slip-ups are a rarity — standout results include a 1-1 draw with Sporting and even a thrilling 4-2 victory over Real Madrid. Heading into the derby, the hosts have almost no squad issues, so Mourinho is likely to rely once again on a tried-and-tested, physically prepared lineup.

Porto, meanwhile, approach this crucial away fixture in far more troubled waters. In the first leg of the Portuguese Cup semi-finals, the Dragons fell 1-0 to Sporting and could easily have lost by a much larger margin — their opponents generated 2.32 xG compared to Porto’s modest 0.33 under Francesco Farioli. A congested schedule and injury woes have clearly taken a toll on the team’s physical condition.

The pressure is compounded by a tough sequence of away games. After the Lisbon derby, Porto face another stern test in Europe against Stuttgart, with barely any time to recover. To make matters worse, the Dragons have struggled at Estádio da Luz in recent seasons, losing their last three visits in this head-to-head.

Probable lineups

  • Benfica: Trubin, Djaló, Otamendi, Silva, Dedić, Aursnes, Barreiros, Schjelderup, Silva, Prestianni, Pavlidis
  • Porto: Costa, Costa, Bednarek, Kiwior, Sanusi, Fröholdt, Varela, Veiga, Pepe, Gül, Petushevsky

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Benfica have won three of their last four home matches against Porto.
  • Only once in the last seven head-to-head meetings has Porto scored more than one goal against Benfica.
  • Benfica remain unbeaten in this season’s Portuguese league campaign.

Prediction

Benfica come into the derby in more stable form and have the advantage of playing at home. Porto, weighed down by a packed fixture list, have struggled in recent away games. Given the current form and head-to-head stats, the hosts look closer to victory in what promises to be a cautious and tense encounter.

Prediction on game W1(0)
Odds: 1.6
Megapari Promo Code
dailysports Promo code copied
MegaPari
4.12
View odds
Comments
Only registered users can post and reply to comments
Upcoming Predictions
England vs New Zealand prediction Test Series England v New Zealand 1st Test Match Preview, Odds & Predictions England Odds: 1.48 New Zealand Recommended 1xBet
Maldives vs Pakistan prediction Friendly International Favorite on paper, risk on the pitch: prediction for Maldives vs Pakistan - 04.06.2026 Maldives Odds: 1.67 Pakistan View odds Melbet
Pakistan vs Australia prediction One Day International Pakistan vs Australia 3rd ODI Match Preview Odds & Predictions Pakistan Odds: 2.25 Australia View odds 1xBet
Cambodia vs Bhutan prediction Friendly International Cambodia vs Bhutan: Prediction, facts, betting tips and H2H – June 4, 2026 Cambodia Odds: 1.5 Bhutan Recommended Melbet
Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva prediction Roland Garros Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva prediction and betting tips - June 4, 2026 Marta Kostyuk Odds: 1.72 Mirra Andreeva View odds Mostbet
Slovenia vs Cyprus prediction Friendly International Ljubljana demands a result from the hosts: Prediction for Slovenia vs Cyprus - 04.06.2026 Slovenia Odds: 1.6 Cyprus View odds Mostbet
Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea prediction Friendly International Prediction for the Burundi vs Equatorial Guinea match. Friendly encounter set for June 4, 2026 Burundi Odds: 1.56 Equatorial Guinea View odds Melbet
Sweden vs Greece prediction Friendly International A final test before the big tournament: prediction for Sweden vs Greece - 04.06.2026 Sweden Odds: 1.75 Greece Recommended Melbet
Andorra vs Liechtenstein prediction Friendly International A rare chance for the hosts: Prediction for Andorra vs Liechtenstein - 04.06.2026 Andorra Odds: 1.68 Liechtenstein View odds Mostbet
Sweden vs Greece prediction Friendly International The final test before the World Cup. Prediction for Sweden vs Greece Sweden Odds: 1.46 Greece View odds Mostbet
Daily Sports News, Predictions and Live Scores