Benfica vs Napoli prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 10, 2025
One of the matches of the 6th round of the 2025/26 UEFA Champions League group stage will take place on Wednesday at the Estádio da Luz in Lisbon, where local side Benfica will face off against Italian club Napoli. I'm tipping a bet on goals in this encounter, with solid chances of success.
Match preview
The Lisbon side finally snapped their Champions League losing streak by beating Ajax away and, for the first time in several rounds, managed to find the net in attack. Despite their late revival, the team still has a shot at making the playoffs, sitting on seven points after five rounds.
However, their home form in the Champions League has left much to be desired — just two wins in their last nine home fixtures. Benfica have struggled to create a wealth of chances, but their defense has been solid: in most matches, at least one side has failed to score.
Napoli head into the final round in good shape — the team defeated Qarabag and kept a second consecutive clean sheet, something they hadn't achieved in this Champions League campaign before. Napoli have played dynamic, attacking football and have been consistently picking up points, especially at home.
However, the Italians have had trouble on the road: four straight away defeats and at least two goals conceded in each of those matches. Still, their attacking potential is high — Napoli have been scoring regularly in the group stage, even away from home.
Probable lineups
- Benfica: Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedić, António Silva, Nicolás Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Rodrigo Regu, Enzo Barrenechea, Heorhiy Sudakov, Richard Ríos, Fredrik Aursnes, Vangelis Pavlidis
- Napoli: Vanja Milinković-Savić, Alessandro Buongiorno, Amir Rrahmani, Sam Beukema, Mathías Olivera, Eljif Elmas, Scott McTominay, Giovanni Di Lorenzo, David Neres, Rasmus Højlund, Noa Lang
Match facts and head-to-head
- Benfica have conceded at least one goal in 13 of their last 17 home Champions League matches
- Napoli have lost four consecutive away matches in the Champions League
- In 7 of Benfica's last 9 Champions League games, there have been two goals or fewer scored
Prediction
Both teams are motivated and in need of points. Despite Benfica's inconsistency at home and Napoli's struggles away, both sides have enough attacking firepower to find the net. Given the teams' styles and stats, I'm expecting an open game with goals at both ends. My bet for this match is 'Both teams to score' at odds of 1.80.
