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On April 17, 2025, another match of the 1/32 finals of the Argentine Cup will take place, featuring Belgrano and Real Pilar. I suggest betting on the total goals in this encounter.
Preview
This cup clash brings together representatives from different divisions of Argentine football. Belgrano is a solid mid-table team in the Primera, but recently, the team hasn't delighted its supporters with consistent results. The club is in 12th place in its group, and with three rounds left before the end of the main stage of the season, their chances of reaching the playoffs are only theoretical.
In this context, one can expect Belgrano to try to make up for their league failures and showcase their strengths in the cup match. Until recently, the team was in decent form, going on a four-match unbeaten streak. However, in the last round, this streak was broken by Boca Juniors, who confidently secured a 3-1 victory in Cordoba, reaffirming their high class.
Real Pilar is in second place in the Primera B standings. The team is only one point behind the leading Midland, but they have played two more matches, complicating the fight for the top spot.
The form of the capital club raises some questions — Real has been unable to secure a victory for three consecutive rounds. In their last match, they faced one of the league's outsiders, Sportivo Italiano, who had only scored one goal in the championship before this encounter. Despite being the favorite, Real Pilar failed to capitalize on their opponent's weaknesses, and the match ended in a 2-2 draw, indicating a noticeable decline in the team's form.
Possible lineups
- Belgrano: Vicentini, Lopez, Troilo, Leguizamon, Grillo, Longo, Menossi, Gonzalez, Fernandez, Passerini, Jara
- Real Pilar: Cano, Leguiza, Otermin, Rodriguez, Fantino, Smith, Rios, Gomez, Crocce, Martin, Riquelme
Match facts and H2H
- In the last six matches, Belgrano has only secured one victory.
- In four of the last five matches involving Belgrano, the "total under 2.5" bet has won.
- A similar trend is observed in Real Pilar's games — only one of their last five matches saw a "total over 2.5" bet.
- The teams have met only once in history, also in the Argentine Cup. On that occasion, Real Pilar defeated Belgrano with a minimal score of 1-0.
Prediction
Belgrano is the bookmaker's favorite with odds of 1.55, which is not surprising — the cup remains the only tournament where the team still has motivation. However, considering the style of recent matches of both teams and the overall decline in scoring, it is reasonable to consider a "total under 2.5" bet with odds of 1.75.
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