Bayern vs Wolfsburg prediction, H2H and probable lineups - 11 January 2026
One of the headline clashes of Bundesliga Matchday 16 will take place on Sunday at the Allianz Arena in Munich, where the local giants Bayern host Wolfsburg. I suggest a bet on the outcome of this encounter with a good chance of success.
Match preview
Bayern ended 2025 at the top of the Bundesliga table, showcasing a dominant start to their campaign. The team suffered just one defeat in all competitions and entered the winter break with record-breaking numbers in the league. But the big question ahead of the season's restart is: in what shape will Thomas Tuchel's men return after the break, and can they immediately rediscover their blistering pace?
There are still some squad issues: Kimmich remains sidelined, while Musiala has only just returned to training. The holding midfield role will require some improvisation, and fans are dissatisfied with Lennart Karl's form, which could affect attacking chemistry. Nevertheless, Bayern still boasts immense depth and plenty of players capable of deciding the match single-handedly.
Wolfsburg have never won in Munich, but under Daniel Bauer, they've started picking up points and are slowly coming back to life. The gloom of the Paul Simonis era is gone, and the team now looks more confident under their new coach, even if their table position remains precarious. Seven points from five matches is already a significant step towards survival.
The visitors have lost several key players, but youngster Pejcinovic has become the new hero after his hat-trick in the previous round. Defensive problems persist, especially with injuries to the fullbacks. Even with their historically dismal away record against Bayern, the Wolves don't look doomed and will surely try to bite back.
Probable lineups
- Bayern: Urbig, Stanisic, Tah, Upamecano, Laimer, Goretzka, Pavlovic, Dias, Karl, Olise, Kane
- Wolfsburg: Grabara, Kambedi, Jenz, Koulierakis, Fischer, Svanberg, Arnold, Wimmer, Eriksen, Maier, Pejcinovic
Match facts and head-to-head
- Wolfsburg have never beaten Bayern in Munich, collecting just two points from 33 matches.
- Seven of the last nine meetings between these sides in Munich saw under 4.5 total goals.
- Both teams have scored in seven of the last ten head-to-head encounters.
Prediction
Despite Bayern's historical dominance and their impressive first half of the season, this might not be a walk in the park. The hosts have some personnel concerns, while Wolfsburg have become noticeably more resilient under their new manager. Still, Munich's class and motivation to stay top should prove decisive. The visitors may find the net, but the victory is likely to remain with the favorites.
