Bayern vs Freiburg prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 22, 2025
One of the fixtures of the 11th round of the German Bundesliga will take place on Saturday at the Allianz Arena in Munich, where the local giants Bayern host Freiburg. I’m backing a total goals bet in this encounter, which offers strong chances for success.
Match preview
Bayern remain the main title contenders and continue to rack up points confidently in the Bundesliga. The team won 11 matches in a row before a draw against Union, and at home they put together an impressive seven-game winning streak. Their defensive reliability stands out—just 6 goals conceded in 11 rounds. At the same time, their attacking prowess remains elite—35 goals, the best tally in the league.
At home, Bayern are consistently dominant: in five of their last seven matches, they’ve scored at least three times. Defensively, Munich have also been flawless—6 of their last 7 games at the Allianz Arena ended with clean sheets. Despite absences, including injuries to key players, squad depth allows them to maintain a high level of play.
Freiburg have shown mixed results, alternating strong home performances with cautious away outings. Last round’s victory over St. Pauli ended an unpleasant streak, but the team still lacks stability. In attack, Julian Schuster’s side have been modest—only three times this season have they scored more than one goal in a match.
Freiburg’s away games are pragmatic: 7 of their last 8 ended with under four total goals. The team pays a lot of attention to defense, rarely allowing opponents clear-cut chances. Still, their attacking output on the road is lacking—Freiburg have failed to score in their last three away fixtures.
Probable lineups
- Bayern: Neuer, Stanisic, Upamecano, Tah, Laimer, Olise, Kimmich, Goretzka, Gnabry, Dias, Kane
- Freiburg: Atubolu, Günter, Ginter, Lienhart, Beste, Manzambi, Suzuki, Grifo, Eggestein, Troy, Adamu
Match facts and head-to-head
- Bayern have won their last 7 home league matches
- Munich have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their last 7 home games
- Freiburg haven’t scored more than one goal in 20 consecutive away matches
Prediction
Don’t expect a free-scoring clash here: Bayern are unlikely to give their opponent much room, and may themselves be content with a modest tally. Freiburg rarely impress in attack on the road, and aren’t likely to change their approach against a powerhouse. Our recommended bet for this match is “total goals under 3.5” at odds of 1.96.
