Bayern unbeaten while Union concede too much: Bayern vs Union Berlin prediction

Bayern Munich vs Union Berlin prediction Photo: dazn.com / Author unknown
Bundesliga Germany (Round 4) 18 sep 2026, 14:30
- : -
Germany, Munich, Allianz Arena

The fourth-round Bundesliga clash between Bayern and Union Berlin will take place on September 18 at the Allianz Arena. The Munich giants have collected seven points and sit fourth, while the Berlin side are 16th with just one point.

Bayern: a confident start without perfect performances

Vincent Kompany's side opened their league campaign with a 5-1 win over Stuttgart, followed it up with a goalless draw against Schalke, and then beat Elversberg 2-1 last time out. In their most recent match, Bayern enjoyed 72% possession, but had to wait until the closing stages for the decisive goal.

Across all competitions, Bayern have won five of their last six matches and remain unbeaten this season. The hosts have an almost full-strength squad, with Harry Kane once again expected to lead the attack alongside Michael Olise, Jamal Musiala and Luis Díaz.

Union Berlin: one point and seven goals conceded in two rounds

Mauro Lustrinelli's team began their Bundesliga campaign with an entertaining 3-3 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt. Union then suffered a heavy 0-4 defeat to Bayer Leverkusen before losing 1-3 at home to Schalke.

The situation is made even more difficult by a lengthy injury list, with the Berliners set to be without several defenders and forwards. Against Bayern's formidable attack, those personnel losses could have a particularly significant impact on the result.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Bayern have not lost a single competitive match this season.
  • Union have conceded seven goals in their last two Bundesliga fixtures.
  • The Berlin club have not beaten Bayern this decade.

The class gap should tell: Bayern vs Union Berlin prediction

Bayern have not always converted their superiority as convincingly as they would have liked in recent matches, but they remain significantly stronger than their opponents in terms of chances created. At home against a struggling Union side, the Munich giants should find enough space for their attacking players to make the difference.

The visitors may be able to capitalize on one opportunity and find the net, but containing the hosts for the full 90 minutes will be extremely difficult. Given the current state of Union's defense, a convincing win for the favorite looks the most likely outcome.

Prediction on game W1(-3.0)
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