Bayern left without attacking leaders: Atlético vs. Bayern prediction
On November 3, Atlético Madrid will host Bayern Munich in the fourth round of the Champions League league phase. The Spaniards have collected four points and sit 16th, while the Munich side are 14th with five points. Both teams still have a chance of securing direct qualification for the knockout stage, but the visitors' injury problems could have a major impact on the outcome of the clash.
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Atlético: nine wins in 10 matches and a solid defence
Diego Simeone's side have overcome their poor start to the season and hit impressive form. Atlético are unbeaten in 10 consecutive matches, recording nine wins and keeping six clean sheets. In their latest La Liga outing, Atlético defeated Levante (2-0) to consolidate second place with 28 points, just two behind Barcelona. In the Champions League, the Spaniards lost to Liverpool (1-2), beat Manchester United (2-0) and drew with Stuttgart (1-1).
The Madrid side have been particularly strong at home. In six home matches this season, they have recorded five wins and one draw, scoring 13 goals and conceding just three. Ahead of the clash with Bayern, there are still concerns over the fitness of Koke and Johnny Cardoso, who have already returned to training. Meanwhile, Morten Hjulmand will miss the match through suspension. Atlético's main attacking hopes will rest on Julián Alvarez and Lee Kang-in.
Bayern: a run of draws and a serious injury crisis
Bayern remain top of the Bundesliga, although their advantage over Borussia Dortmund is based solely on goal difference. In the latest round, the Munich side drew 2-2 at home with their fierce rivals. Vincent Kompany's team have also dropped points in their two previous Champions League matches, drawing with Viking (3-3) and Arsenal (2-2). After three rounds, the German club have five points and are still outside the top eight.
The visitors' main problem is a lengthy injury list. Luis Díaz will miss out with a hamstring injury, while Michael Olise is doubtful. Serge Gnabry and Ismaël Saibari also picked up fitness problems after the match against Dortmund. There is also uncertainty surrounding goalkeepers Manuel Neuer and Jonas Urbig. Nevertheless, Bayern have lost none of their last five away matches, although they failed to win three of them and conceded seven goals in total.
Match facts and head-to-head record
- Atlético are unbeaten in 10 consecutive matches in all competitions, recording nine wins
- The Madrid side have won five of their six home matches this season
- Bayern have scored over 1.5 goals in each of their last 10 matches in all official competitions
- Atlético concede an average of 1.3 goals in their last 10 Champions League matches
- Bayern's opponents have averaged an xG of 0.88 in the 2026/27 Champions League
Can Atlético exploit Bayern's problems: Atlético vs. Bayern prediction
Atlético head into the clash in excellent form. Simeone's team are defensively sound, rarely drop points at home and are capable of taking advantage of their opponents' weakened attacking options.
Bayern remain dangerous even without several key players, but injuries have affected virtually every area of the team. Considering Atlético's home record and Bayern's personnel problems, the advantage appears to lie with the Spanish club. However, the visitors possess enough attacking quality to score at least once.
