Bayer Leverkusen — Arsenal Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 11 March 2026

Bayer Leverkusen vs Arsenal prediction Photo: https://x.com/Arsenal/Author unknownn
Champions League (Round 1/8) 11 mar 2026, 13:45
Finished
1 : 1
International, Leverkusen, BayArena
Robert Andrich
46'
89' (P)
Kai Havertz

On March 11, 2026, in the first leg of the round of 16 of the UEFA Champions League, Bayer Leverkusen will host Arsenal. The match is scheduled to kick off at 18:45 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Bayer Leverkusen

Bayer Leverkusen have shown fairly solid results in recent matches, although the team has clearly been lacking victories. In their last five matches across all competitions, they have recorded only one win, along with three draws and one defeat. Overall, however, the team’s form remains stable, as they have lost just once in their last 12 matches.

In their most recent game, Leverkusen played away against Freiburg in the Bundesliga, with the match ending in a 3-3 draw. Generally, the team has not been involved in many high-scoring games recently. Before that draw, Leverkusen had five consecutive matches that finished with under 2.5 goals.

In the Bundesliga standings, Bayer currently sit in sixth place, just three points away from the UEFA Champions League qualification zone. In the previous round, Leverkusen eliminated Olympiacos. After winning the first leg away 2-0, Leverkusen drew 0-0 at home and advanced to the next round.

During the league phase of the Champions League, Leverkusen finished 16th with 12 points from eight matches. At home in that competition, their performances were not particularly convincing, as they won only one of four games, drawing twice and losing once.

However, in all competitions at home, Bayer have been quite solid, remaining unbeaten in their last six matches at their stadium. Historically, they have faced Arsenal at home only once, in the Champions League in 2002, and that match ended in a 1-1 draw.

Arsenal

Arsenal are having an excellent season and come into this match in outstanding form. The team is currently on a four-game winning streak in all competitions and has now gone 11 matches without defeat. Their most recent match was in the FA Cup, where Arsenal defeated Mansfield Town 2–1 to reach the quarterfinals.

In the Premier League, Arsenal are confidently leading the standings with a seven-point advantage over Manchester City. It is also worth noting that Arsenal will face Manchester City in the final of the EFL Cup at the end of March.

In the Champions League, Arsenal delivered outstanding performances during the league phase. The team won all eight of their matches, finished first in the league phase, scored 23 goals and conceded only four, boasting the best defensive record.

Arsenal have also been very confident away from home, remaining unbeaten in 13 consecutive away matches across all competitions.

Looking at the head-to-head record against Bayer Leverkusen, Arsenal have a clear advantage. The teams have met only three times in total, twice in official matches and once in a friendly, and Arsenal have never lost, recording two wins and one draw.

Probable Lineups

  • Bayer Leverkusen: Blaswich, Tapsoba, Andrich, Quansah, Bade, Garcia, Palacios, Grimaldo, Poku, Maza, Kofane
  • Arsenal: Raya, Hincapie, Gabriel, Mosquera, Timber, Norgaard, Zubimendi, Eze, Saka, Madueke, Gyokeres

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • Bayer Leverkusen have won or drawn 11 of their last 12 matches.
  • 5 of Bayer Leverkusen’s last 6 matches have seen under 2.5 goals.
  • Arsenal have won their last 4 matches.
  • Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 13 away matches.

Bayer Leverkusen — Arsenal Prediction

Both teams come into this match in relatively good form. Bayer Leverkusen have been very consistent recently, suffering only one defeat in their last twelve matches. The team currently sit sixth in the Bundesliga and has been particularly solid at home, where their defensive organization has stood out. In their last six home matches across competitions, Leverkusen have conceded just one goal. Arsenal, meanwhile, are enjoying an outstanding season and continue to dominate in the competitions they are involved in. The team is in excellent form and also holds a historical advantage in head-to-head meetings with Leverkusen. Considering the current form of both sides, Leverkusen’s disciplined and careful approach at home, and the fact that this is only the first leg of the tie, the match is likely to be played with a certain level of caution. Both teams will try to avoid unnecessary risks, which suggests a tight contest where clear scoring opportunities may be limited and the total number of goals could remain relatively low. Recommended bet: Under 3 — 1.54

Prediction on game Total under 3
Odds: 1.54
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