Barcelona's perfect home run under threat in El Clásico: Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction

Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction Photo: laliga.com / Author unknown
LaLiga Spain (Round 10) 25 oct 2026, 16:00
Finished
1 : 2
Spain, Barcelona, Spotify Camp Nou
Raphinha
61'
41' 87'
Kylian Mbappe

The La Liga matchday 10 clash between Barcelona and Real Madrid will take place on October 25, 2026, at Spotify Camp Nou. The Catalans have won all nine of their opening league matches and sit top of the table with 27 points, while the Madrid side are third on 21 points. A home victory would extend Barcelona’s lead over their fiercest rivals to nine points, making the stakes in this El Clásico particularly high.

Barcelona: nine straight La Liga wins

Hansi Flick’s side are enjoying an almost perfect domestic campaign: nine matches, nine wins and first place in the table. In the previous round, Barcelona beat Real Betis 5-2, having already thrashed Getafe 3-0, Sevilla 3-1 and Racing 7-2. However, the Catalans suffered their first defeat of the season in midweek, losing 4-2 to PSG in the Champions League.

The home head-to-head record also favors the hosts. Barcelona have won six of their last seven matches against Real Madrid in all competitions and have not lost to the Madrid side at home since October 2023. However, the squad is not at full strength: Dani Olmo, Roony Bardghji, Andreas Christensen and Eric Garcia are certain to miss out, while Jules Kounde remains a major doubt.

Real Madrid: four straight wins after the derby

José Mourinho’s side responded well to their 2-1 defeat by Atlético. Following the Madrid derby, Real beat Villarreal 1-0, Roma 4-3, Sevilla 4-1 and RB Leipzig 4-1 in succession. As a result, the visitors head into El Clásico on a run of four consecutive wins in all competitions, with their attacking form noticeably improved.

Kylian Mbappé remains the main threat up front, while Jude Bellingham is expected to operate behind the French striker. Real also have significant absences, though: Rodrygo, Ferland Mendy and Raúl Asencio are injured, while Vinícius Júnior is suspended. Federico Valverde could therefore feature at right-back, with Arda Güler and Yan Diomande expected to start on the wings.

Probable lineups

  • Barcelona: Joan García, Cancelo, Cubarsí, Martín, Espart, Rodri, Pedri, Yamal, Fermín, Gordon, Raphinha.
  • Real Madrid: Courtois, Valverde, Konaté, Huijsen, Cucurella, Tchouaméni, Bernardo Silva, Güler, Bellingham, Diomande, Mbappé.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Barcelona have won all nine of their opening La Liga matches.
  • Real Madrid have won four straight matches in all competitions since losing to Atlético.
  • Barcelona have won six of their last seven matches against Real Madrid in all competitions.

Attacking football could lead to goals at both ends: Barcelona vs Real Madrid prediction

Barcelona have been the more consistent side this season and enjoy a significant home advantage, but their defeat by PSG showed that their defense can be exposed when the tempo rises. Real, meanwhile, have found their rhythm and come into the match on the back of two consecutive 4-1 victories.

Given the quality of both attacks and the defensive absences, this could be an extremely open contest. Barcelona are capable of maintaining the pressure, but Real are currently in good enough form to end the Catalans’ perfect winning run in the league.

Prediction on game Barcelona Win or Draw & Total over 3.5
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