AZ vs Jagiellonia prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 18, 2025
One of the matches of the final round of the Conference League group stage will take place on Thursday at the AFAS Stadium, where the local side AZ will host Poland’s Jagiellonia. Both teams still have tournament ambitions, making the outcome of this clash particularly intriguing for bettors.
Match preview
The Dutch club enters the fixture as the clear favorite, a status backed up by both statistics and current form. In recent matches, AZ have played at a high tempo with an aggressive style, consistently creating a wealth of chances in front of goal. The Dutch side have won three out of their last four tournament matches, impressively keeping a clean sheet in all of those victories.
While AZ aren’t always clinical in front of goal, their overall balance remains positive: more goals scored, fewer conceded, and a high passing accuracy. Overall, AZ have three wins in their last five matches across all competitions, and the fact that they had a weekend off from league action only boosts confidence in a positive result here.
The Polish team relies on tight defensive play and a high work rate, but their recent results have been inconsistent. Jagiellonia rarely suffer heavy defeats but have significant trouble creating and converting chances, especially against opponents who can control the midfield.
In the last four rounds of the Conference League, Jagiellonia have managed just one win, with two draws and one defeat. The Poles currently sit 18th in the table, trailing the top 10 by two points. Last weekend, Jagiellonia played out a 1-1 away draw against Motor Lublin in the Polish league.
Probable lineups
- AZ: Verhulst, Dekker, de Wit, Penetra Correia, Chávez, Mijnans, Smit, Koopmeiners, Jensen, Parrott, Sadiq
- Jagiellonia: Abramowicz, Wdowik, Stojinović, Wojtuszek, Vital, Romanczuk, Mazurek, Flach, Pululu, Imaz, Pietuszewski
Match facts and head-to-head
- AZ have registered 90 shots on goal in their last five matches, outpacing Jagiellonia in this metric
- Jagiellonia have scored only four goals in their last five matches across all competitions
- The two teams have never faced each other before
Prediction
Given their statistical superiority, more balanced play, and better conversion rate, AZ look to have the edge in this contest. Jagiellonia can put up a fight with their compact football, but over the course of the match, the quality and depth of the Dutch side should prevail. The optimal choice appears to be “AZ to win with a -1.0 handicap” at odds of 1.91.
