Auxerre vs Brest: prediction, head-to-head, and probable line-ups – 21 March 2026

Auxerre vs Brest prediction Photo: ligue1.fr / Author unknown
Ligue 1 France (Round 27) 21 mar 2026, 14:00
Finished
3 : 0
France, Auxerre, Stade de l'Abbe-Deschamps
Bryan Okoh
24' 58'
Danny Namaso
70'

On Saturday, at the Abbé-Deschamps stadium in Auxerre, one of the highlight matches of Ligue 1’s 27th round will take place as Auxerre hosts Brest. The home side will be desperate to finally end their winless drought on home turf and pull away from the relegation zone, while the visitors will look to quickly recover from their stumble in Monaco and keep their hopes alive for a European push. I’m backing a bet on goals in this encounter.

Match preview

Auxerre approaches this fixture in a highly tense league situation, where every single point feels less like a bonus and more like a question of survival. Their 0-1 defeat to Marseille in the previous round left Christophe Pélissier’s team winless in March, once again highlighting their biggest issue this season – an alarming lack of goals. Auxerre remains the lowest-scoring side in Ligue 1, and they haven't found the net at home in the league at all in 2026.

That’s why, for the hosts, this match feels like a pressure point against their own limits. Despite their modest attacking numbers, Auxerre can make games scrappy, gritty, and uncomfortable, and they’ve already found the right rhythm against Brest at home before – just recall their 3-0 victory in this same fixture last season. The return of Sinayoko after suspension and a potential boost from Faivre could finally inject some much-needed variety up front.

Brest arrive in Burgundy licking their wounds after a painful 0-2 loss to Monaco, snapping a six-match unbeaten run in the league. Éric Roy’s side looked sluggish in attack in the principality – a worrying sign ahead of a trip to a team almost certain to close down space and force Brest to work hard off the ball. Still, the season remains solid for the “Pirates,” even as the battle for European places grows ever tighter.

But Brest also face some serious selection issues that could disrupt their usual structure. Due to suspensions, Ajorque and Chardonnet are unavailable – significant losses not only in terms of names, but also balance across the lines. Even so, Brest still look a more cohesive side than this current Auxerre, but these are exactly the kind of matches against stubborn, defensive opponents that often cost favorites more energy and nerves than expected before kickoff.

Probable line-ups

  • Auxerre: Léon, Sy, Diomandé, Sierralta, Akpa, Danois, Owusu, Faivre, Louader, Oppegard, Sinayoko
  • Brest: Coudet, Lala, S. Koulibaly, Dias, Guindo, Chotard, Magnetti, Del Castillo, Doumbia, Ebimbe, Lascary

Match facts and head-to-head

  • In the previous round, Auxerre lost 0-1 to Marseille, while Brest suffered a 0-2 defeat to Monaco.
  • Auxerre is the lowest-scoring team in Ligue 1 and has failed to score in all four of their home league matches in 2026.
  • In their last two Ligue 1 home matches against Brest, Auxerre have taken points, including a 3-0 victory in this fixture last season.

Prediction

This is a match where the beauty of football will almost certainly give way to nerves and the high cost of mistakes. Auxerre will fight tooth and nail at home because their league situation leaves them no other choice, while Brest, after their slip-up against Monaco, are unlikely to throw caution to the wind. Expect a tight, hard-fought contest with few clear chances – where a single moment could decide everything.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.71
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4.95
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