Austria vs Slovenia prediction, H2H & Probable Line-ups - November 17, 2024
The final round of the Nations League group stage brings a crucial encounter on Sunday as Austria takes on Slovenia at the Ernst Happel Stadium in Vienna. Here's a comprehensive match preview and a promising betting suggestion.
Match Preview
Ralf Rangnick’s Austrian side delivered a commanding performance in the fifth round, defeating Kazakhstan 2-0 on the road. This victory marked Austria’s third consecutive win in the Nations League, securing their spot at the top of the group standings.
Although Austria and Norway are tied on 10 points, the Austrians hold the edge due to their superior head-to-head record. A win against Slovenia in this final round would guarantee Austria's promotion to League A, regardless of the scoreline. Notably, Rangnick’s squad has been solid at home, remaining unbeaten in seven of their last 10 matches on Austrian soil.
Slovenia, on the other hand, suffered a heavy 4-1 defeat to Norway at home in their fifth-round clash. This loss marked their second significant setback in the current tournament.
With seven points, Matjaž Kek's Slovenian team no longer has a chance to claim the top spot in the group. However, they still have a shot at second place and a spot in the play-offs for promotion to League A. To achieve this, Slovenia must pull off an away win against Austria.
Probable Line-Ups
- Austria: Alexander Schlager – Stefan Posch, Philipp Lienhart, Alexander Prass, Kevin Danso – Nicolas Seiwald, Konrad Laimer – Patrick Wimmer, Christoph Baumgartner, Romano Schmid – Michael Gregoritsch.
- Slovenia: Jan Oblak – Žan Karničnik, Vanja Drkušić, Jaka Bijol, Erik Janža – Petar Stojanović, Adam Gnezda Čerin, Timi Elsnik, Jan Mlakar – Žan Vipotnik, Benjamin Šeško.
Match Facts and Head-to-Head
- Six of Austria’s last eight home matches have featured at least three goals.
- Slovenia has failed to win five of their last six away games in the Nations League.
- Austria has defeated Slovenia in three of their last four meetings.
Prediction
Austria has been prolific at home, scoring nine goals in two matches during this campaign. Bookmakers favor the hosts with odds of 1.48 for a win. Given Austria's dominance at home and Slovenia's struggles on the road, our betting suggestion is **Austria to win with a handicap (-1.0)** at odds of 1.75.
