Augsburg vs Freiburg prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups - 18 January 2026
One of the fixtures of Bundesliga Matchday 18 will take place on Sunday at the WWK Arena in Augsburg, where the local side Augsburg will host Freiburg. Let's take a look at a bet on goals in this clash, with both teams feeling the pressure of the league table, though each is fighting for different objectives.
Match preview
The "Fuggers" continue to struggle and remain one of the lowest-scoring teams in the Bundesliga. Under Manuel Baum, the team hasn't tasted victory in over a month and has managed to score just once in four rounds since early December. The schedule was manageable, but even against direct rivals, Augsburg failed to secure maximum points.
The squad situation is relatively stable, although two central defenders, Gouweleeuw and Matsima, are still sidelined. Up front, the main hope is the reinstated Gregoritsch, but expecting him to work miracles alone is unrealistic. Yes, Augsburg defeated Freiburg in the first half of the season, but the overall head-to-head record in recent years is worrying: only two wins in the last 14 meetings.
Freiburg delivered one of their worst attacking performances of the season in Leipzig during the week—Julian Schuster's side failed to create any real chances. The defeat was their first in five matches across all competitions, snapping a solid run, but it's not disastrous for their league ambitions. The key now is to avoid a prolonged slump, especially with the table so tight.
There are hardly any selection concerns: Lienhart remains in the treatment room, but otherwise the squad is fit. All eyes are on Vincenzo Grifo, who is one goal away from becoming Freiburg's all-time top scorer. The main issue remains their away form—five of their six Bundesliga defeats have come on the road, a weakness the team must address if they dream of European football.
Probable lineups
- Augsburg: Damen, Cezeiger, Schlotterbeck, Banks, Massengo, Jakic, Giannoulis, Kade, Claude-Maurice, Reider, Gregoritsch
- Freiburg: Atubolu, Kübler, Ginter, Jung, Günter, Eggestein, Manzambi, Troy, Suzuki, Grifo, Heller
Match facts and head-to-head
- Freiburg have won more than twice as many head-to-head matches as Augsburg.
- Seven of the last nine meetings between these teams have featured over 2.5 goals.
- Grifo has already scored eight goals against Augsburg—his favorite opponent in the Bundesliga.
Prediction
It's tough to pick a clear favorite: Augsburg are desperately fighting for every point, especially at home, where they need to bounce back after a string of poor results. Freiburg look more organized and cohesive, but their away struggles could haunt them again. Expect a hard-fought battle, with both sides likely to find the net, but a draw seems the most probable outcome—both teams are evenly matched in terms of form and motivation.
