Atletico vs Valencia prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 13, 2025
One of the key fixtures of La Liga’s 17th round will take place this Saturday at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, where the local side Atletico will host Valencia. I’m offering a bet on the outcome of this clash, with solid chances for success.
Match preview
Atletico’s recent results have left much to be desired. The Madrid team lost two of their last three matches, and both of those defeats came in La Liga—first to Barcelona (1-3), then to Athletic Bilbao (0-1). However, they managed to bounce back in the Champions League with a spirited 3-2 comeback win over PSV. Striker Alexander Sørloth was particularly impressive in that game, despite not having been prolific earlier in the season.
Currently, "Los Colchoneros" sit fourth in La Liga, which can hardly be called a satisfactory result. They’re four points behind Villarreal, who occupy third place—and the "Yellow Submarine" still have a game in hand. That means Atletico’s position could become even more precarious.
Valencia, meanwhile, have been struggling for the past two seasons. The team is 16th in the table, just three points above the relegation zone. But after a heavy 0-4 defeat to Real Madrid, the "Bats" have managed to steady the ship a bit—claiming two wins and three draws against some fairly strong opponents.
Historically, Valencia have found it very tough going against Atletico. In their last ten meetings, they have only managed one victory—back in 2023, when they stunned the Madrid side with a 3-0 rout.
Match facts
- Atletico have scored first in eight of their last ten matches.
- Atletico have conceded in each of their last three games.
- Valencia are winless in five consecutive matches.
- Over two goals have been scored in each of Valencia’s last five games.
- Their last encounter ended in a 3-0 win for Atletico.
Probable lineups
- Atletico: Oblak - Molina, Pubill, Lenglet, Hancko - Koke, Barrios, Almada - Simeone, González, Álvarez
- Valencia: Agirrezabala - Foulquier, Cömert, Copete – Correia, Almeida, Pepelu, Gaya - Rioja, López, Duro
Prediction
I don’t expect to see many goals in this match. Atletico’s La Liga games rarely produce more than three goals, and there’s little reason to believe this one will be any different. Valencia also struggle to convert their chances, which further reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring affair. My prediction: total goals under 3.
