Atletico vs Bodo/Glimt prediction, head-to-head and probable lineups - January 28, 2026
One of the matches of the 8th round of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage will take place on Wednesday at the Civitas Metropolitano in Madrid, where the home side Atletico will host Norwegian outfit Bodo/Glimt. I'm backing a total goals bet in this clash, with strong chances of success.
Match preview
After drawing with Galatasaray in the previous round, the Madrid club slipped to 12th in the standings and lost control of their fate. To guarantee a top-8 finish and avoid the playoffs, Simeone's men need not just a win, but a convincing one. The team is generally in good form – seven victories in their last ten matches – and at home in the Champions League, Atletico have yet to drop a single point.
Defense remains a problem area – they've conceded in every match of the tournament, even against modest opposition. Still, their attack is more reliable: Madrid have scored 10 of their 16 goals at home. Without Griezmann, whose participation is in doubt, there may be less creativity, but the hosts still have enough depth to control the game.
The Norwegians have already done the impossible – sensationally defeating Manchester City (3-1) to revive their playoff hopes. Kjetil Knutsen's team plays fearlessly, always trying to impose a high tempo on any opponent, but their main issue is poor balance between the lines. In nine Champions League matches, including qualifiers, Bodo/Glimt have scored in eight, but conceded 14 goals just in the main stage.
The biggest struggles come away from home: on the road, they consistently concede two or more goals. Even against a passive Slavia side, they couldn't keep their defense tight. In Madrid, they'll once again have to play second fiddle, and while they may dream of another shock like the City game, repeating that feat looks extremely unlikely.
Probable lineups
- Atletico: Oblak, Ruggieri, Gantzko, Pubil, Llorente, Gonzalez, Barrios, Koke, Simeone, Sorloth, Alvarez
- Bodo/Glimt: Haikin, Sjøvold, Bjørtuft, Gundersen, Bjørkan, Evjen, Berg, Fet, Blomberg, Høgh, Hauge
Match facts and head-to-head
- Atletico have won all three of their home matches in the current Champions League stage, but have yet to keep a clean sheet.
- In seven of Bodo/Glimt's eight matches at this stage, both teams have scored.
- The Norwegians have not lost by more than one goal in their last seven matches in the competition.
Prediction
This clash promises plenty of action – both sides are prolific and regularly exchange goals. Atletico will be highly motivated, but their defense is far from reassuring, especially against Bodo/Glimt's quick and mobile attack. Most likely, Madrid will take the win, but the visitors should find the net as well.
