Atlético vs Benfica: Who will advance to the next round of the Portuguese Cup?

Atletico Atletico
Taca de Portugal (Round 4) 21 nov 2025, 15:30
Finished
0 : 2
Portugal,
73'
Richard Rios
77' (P)
Vangelis Pavlidis

On Friday, November 21, the Round of 32 of the Portuguese Cup brings us a clash between Atlético and Benfica. The match kicks off at 21:30 CET, and here is my betting suggestion for it.

Atlético vs Benfica: Match facts and head-to-head

  • Atlético are winless in their last three matches: two draws and a defeat.
  • Benfica have failed to win their last two fixtures.
  • At home, Atlético are unbeaten in three straight games: two wins and a draw.
  • Last season, Benfica reached the final of the Portuguese Cup but fell to Sporting.
  • Benfica have kept a clean sheet in 48% of their matches this season; Atlético in 42%.
  • Atlético have lost 33% of their matches without scoring; Benfica only 14%.
  • Atlético score in both halves in 33% of their games; Benfica in 29%.
  • Benfica have won five of their last ten matches without conceding.
  • These two clubs have never faced each other before.

Atlético vs Benfica: Match preview

Atlético is a representative of Portugal's Liga 3, the third-strongest division. It plays in Group B, and the team's results are not the best at the moment. In the last ten rounds, Atlético has earned 11 points and is in eighth place out of ten. They are currently four points behind fourth place, so they still have a chance to fight for promotion, but they have not won in their last three games: two draws and one loss.

Benfica did not win in their last two matches before the international break. They lost 0-1 in the Champions League and drew 2-2 with Casa Pia in the league. The team is currently third in the table with 25 points after 11 rounds, six points behind the leaders and three behind the second-placed team. Benfica reached the final of the Portuguese Cup last season but lost 1-3 to Sporting.

Projected lineup

  • Benfica: Trubin, Dahl, António Silva, Dedić, Tomás Araújo, Sudakov, Barrenechea, Ríos, Aursnes, Pavlidis, Lukebakio

Prediction

To me, Benfica are the clear favourites. Despite their recent inconsistency, they possess a significantly stronger squad and will be eager to bounce back after two disappointing results. My recommended bet is Benfica’s individual total over 2.5 goals.

Prediction on game Benfica Total over 2,5
Odds: 1.66
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