Atlético return to winning ways as Osasuna stumble in early September: prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna

Atletico Madrid vs Osasuna prediction Photo: laliga.com / Author unknown
LaLiga Spain (Round 6) 16 sep 2026, 13:00
- : -
Spain, Madrid, Riyadh Air Metropolitano

The sixth-round La Liga clash between Atlético Madrid and Osasuna will take place on September 16 at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano Stadium. The Madrid side have collected 10 points and sit fourth, while the visitors have seven points and occupy 11th place.

Atlético Madrid: a confident response after two defeats

Diego Simeone’s side endured a difficult spell, losing 0-3 to Athletic Club in the league and 1-2 to Liverpool in the Champions League. However, in the previous round, the Madrid outfit responded with a convincing 3-0 victory over Real Sociedad.

All three goals came late in the game, with Alejandro Grimaldo, Jonathan David and Giuliano Simeone finding the net. Meanwhile, Julián Álvarez remains a doubt, while Alexander Sørloth and Pablo Barrios are also not guaranteed places in the squad due to injuries.

Osasuna: two defeats in a row

After five rounds, Osasuna have two wins, one draw and two defeats. The team made a strong start to the season, but then conceded five goals against Alavés and suffered another setback against Espanyol.

Several players remain sidelined with injuries, including Moi Gómez, Jorge Herrando, Aimar Oroz and Valentin Rosier. Up front, the main hopes will once again rest on Ante Budimir, who remains the team’s leading source of goals.

Match facts and head-to-head record

  • Atlético have won three of their last four matches against Osasuna.
  • Last season, the Madrid side beat this opponent 1-0 at home.
  • Osasuna have lost their last two league matches.

One goal could be enough for the hosts: prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Osasuna

Atlético should approach this match with noticeably greater confidence after their rout of Real Sociedad. Even with their absences, the hosts look more organised and stronger on paper.

Osasuna could make the game scrappy and deny their opponents much space, but their recent results raise questions. In such a scenario, a narrow victory for Simeone’s side appears the most likely outcome.

Prediction on game Total under 3.0
Odds: 1.68
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4.95
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