Athletic - PSG prediction, H2H and probable lineups - December 10, 2025
One of the matches of Matchday 6 of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage will take place on Wednesday at the San Mamés Stadium in Bilbao, where Spanish side Athletic will face French powerhouse PSG. I’m backing a bet on goals in this encounter, with strong odds of success.
Match preview
Athletic’s return to the Champions League hasn’t yielded the results they hoped for so far. The team has managed just one win in five rounds and has struggled in front of goal, scoring only 4 times. In their last two outings, the Spaniards failed to find the net, and a recent goalless draw with Slavia (0-0) marked their first clean sheet in the competition.
Nonetheless, the Basques are much more confident at home — unbeaten in 9 of their last 11 Champions League matches at San Mamés. Athletic remain in the hunt for a playoff spot, but victories are essential in the remaining rounds, and their next opponent is one of the toughest. Low scoring and defensive inconsistency are holding back the team’s ambitions for now.
The Parisian side quickly bounced back from a defeat to Bayern by engaging in a goal-fest against Tottenham (5-3). PSG remain one of the most potent attacking forces in the Champions League: 19 goals in 5 matches and a scoring streak that now stretches to 11 straight games. The French club has already collected 12 points and firmly sits atop their group.
PSG have been prolific both at home and away — hitting at least 2 goals in 6 of their last 8 away games in the UCL. They don’t play to hold onto a lead, always opting for an attacking approach, which makes their matches action-packed. Despite a few absences, their forward line remains a constant threat to any opponent.
Probable lineups
- Athletic: Unai Simón, Yuri Berchiche, Andoni Gorosabel, Dani Vivian, Jesús Areso, Mikel Jaureguizar, Oihan Sancet, Iñigo Ruiz de Galarreta, Nico Williams, Álex Berenguer, Gorka Guruzeta
- PSG: Lucas Chevalier, Marquinhos, Illya Zabarnyi, Willian Pacho, Warren Zaïre-Emery, João Neves, Vitinha, Fabián Ruiz, Ousmane Dembélé, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Senny Meyulu
Match facts and head-to-head
- PSG have scored at least 3 goals in 7 consecutive Champions League games.
- Athletic have avoided defeat in 9 of their last 11 European home matches.
- The Parisians have won 7 of their previous 8 away fixtures in the UCL.
Prediction
PSG come into this clash in sensational attacking form and have been consistently prolific throughout the tournament. Athletic, on the other hand, are struggling to finish their chances and have conceded in most of their games. Even considering the home advantage, the Spaniards’ chances are slim — PSG are one of the most clinical sides in Europe. Our prediction: PSG over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.65.
