Atalanta — Napoli Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 22 February 2026

Atalanta vs SSC Napoli prediction Photo: https://x.com/Atalanta_BC/Author unknownn
Serie A Italy (Round 26) 22 feb 2026, 09:00
Finished
2 : 1
Italy, Bergamo, New Balance Arena
Mario Pasalic
61'
Lazar Samardzic
81'
18'
Sam Beukema

On February 22, 2026, in Matchday 26 of the Italian Serie A, Atalanta will host Napoli. The match is scheduled to kick off at 15:00 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Atalanta

Atalanta come into this match after a defeat to Borussia Dortmund in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League round of 16. Playing away from home, the team lost 0–2 and will now be looking to mount a comeback in the return leg at home in Bergamo. That defeat ended an impressive run of four consecutive matches without a loss in all competitions.

During that positive spell, Atalanta reached the Coppa Italia semifinals, where they will face Lazio, and also recorded two straight wins in Serie A, first against Cremonese, and then an impressive 2–0 away victory over Lazio. At the moment, Atalanta sit seventh in the league standings with 42 points, just five points behind the Champions League qualification zone.

At home, Atalanta have been very solid this season: 7 wins, 4 draws and only 2 defeats, which is the fourth-best home record in the league. Moreover, the team are currently on a run of three consecutive home victories.

However, recent home meetings against Napoli have been problematic for Atalanta, with four straight defeats in Bergamo. That said, fixtures between these sides at Atalanta’s stadium are usually open and high-scoring. The last six home matches against Napoli have all finished with over 2.5 goals, and both teams found the net in every one of those encounters.

Napoli

Napoli have been producing rather inconsistent results lately. The team were eliminated from the UEFA Champions League after finishing only 30th in the overall standings, and also exited the Coppa Italia, losing to Como on penalties in the quarterfinals. In their most recent Serie A match, Napoli failed to secure a win at home, drawing 2–2 against Roma.

At the moment, Napoli sit third in the Serie A table with 50 points, but their gap to league leaders Inter has already grown to 11 points. As for their away form, Napoli have been fairly solid on the road this season, recording 7 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats in Serie A. Looking at their recent away performances, the team have suffered just one loss in their last five away matches, alongside three wins and two draws.

When it comes to head-to-head meetings with Atalanta, these fixtures are usually very entertaining and high-scoring. Ten of the last eleven encounters between the sides have finished with over 2.5 goals. Napoli hold a slight edge in this period, with six wins compared to Atalanta’s five.

Probable Lineups

  • Atalanta: Carnesecchi, Ahanor, Djimsiti, Scalvini, Bernasconi, De Roon, Ederson, Bellanova, Samardzic, Zalewski, Scamacca
  • Napoli: Milinkovic-Savic, Beukema, Jesus, Buongiorno, Politano, Lobotka, Gilmour, Spinazzola, Vergara, Elmas, Hojlund

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • Atalanta have won 5 of their last 6 home matches.
  • Napoli are unbeaten in their last 4 matches.
  • 5 of Napoli’s last 6 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
  • In 6 of Napoli’s last 7 matches, both teams scored.
  • 10 of the last 11 head-to-head meetings have seen over 2.5 goals.

Atalanta — Napoli Prediction

Both teams approach this match with strong motivation. Atalanta, after their defeat in the UEFA Champions League, will be eager to restore confidence. The team are still fighting for top positions in Serie A and continue their campaign in the Coppa Italia. As for Napoli, they have slightly dropped out of the title race. The team currently sit third in the league and have already been eliminated from both the Coppa Italia and the Champions League. In head-to-head meetings, the rivalry has been fairly balanced over a long period, but Atalanta have struggled recently, losing four consecutive home matches against Napoli in Bergamo. Considering the current state of both teams, their strong desire to secure crucial points, and the historically high-scoring nature of their encounters, all signs point toward an entertaining match. As is often the case in this fixture, we can expect goals from both sides and an open, competitive contest. Recommended bet: Both Teams to Score — Yes at odds of 1.79.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.79
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