Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Prediction, facts, betting tips, line-ups and H2H – May 15, 2026

Finished
4 : 2
England, Birmingham, Villa Park
Morgan Rogers
42'
Ollie Watkins
57' 73'
John McGinn
89'
52' 90' + 2
Virgil van Dijk

Matchday 37 of the English Premier League brings us a showdown between Aston Villa and Liverpool. The clash will take place on Friday, May 15, with kick-off scheduled for 21:00 CET, and here is my betting pick.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Match facts and H2H

  • Aston Villa have won just one of their last five matches.
  • Aston Villa have scored in three consecutive matches.
  • At home, Aston Villa have won three of their last four games.
  • Liverpool have lost one of their last four matches.
  • Liverpool have suffered five defeats in their last six away matches.
  • Both teams have won 27% of their league matches this season without conceding.
  • Aston Villa have lost 15% of their matches without scoring, while Liverpool have done so in 13%.
  • Aston Villa have scored in both halves in 35% of their matches this season, while Liverpool have managed it in 33%.
  • Liverpool won the most recent meeting between the sides 2–0.

Aston Villa vs Liverpool: Match preview

Both teams remain locked in the battle for a UEFA Champions League place. They are level on points and separated only by goal difference, while the gap to sixth place is not significant, making this an enormously important encounter.

Aston Villa currently sit fifth in the Premier League table with 59 points from 36 matches, having scored 50 goals and conceded 46. Liverpool, meanwhile, are fourth with the same 59-point tally after 36 rounds, but they hold the superior goal difference at 60:48.

Aston Villa’s recent form has been far from convincing. The team have won just one of their last five matches, with that victory coming in the UEFA Europa League. In Premier League action, the Birmingham side are now winless in three straight matches.

Liverpool have been inconsistent throughout this Premier League campaign, although their recent performances have shown slight improvement. The Merseysiders suffered a 3–2 defeat to Manchester United, but that remains their only loss in the last four matches. In addition, they boast a stronger goal difference than Villa and defeated the Birmingham side 2–0 in their most recent head-to-head clash.

Both teams currently hold a four-point cushion over sixth place, meaning every point matters at this stage of the season. With five Premier League teams qualifying for the UEFA Champions League, the stakes for this match are even greater.

Projected line-ups

  • Aston Villa: Martínez; Maatsen, Lindelöf, Mings, Cash; Konsa, Rogers, Tielemans, McGinn, Barkley; Watkins
  • Liverpool: Mamardashvili; Van Dijk, Kerkez, Konaté, Frimpong; Gravenberch, Jones, Szoboszlai, Mac Allister; Gakpo, Ngumoha

Prediction

This is a hugely significant fixture in the race for a UEFA Champions League place, and I expect an open, high-intensity contest filled with goals. My pick is over 3 total goals.

Prediction on game Total over 3
Odds: 1.77
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