Aston Villa — Newcastle Prediction, H2H and Probable Lineups — 14 February 2026

Aston Villa vs Newcastle prediction Photo: https://x.com/AVFCOfficial/Author unknownn
FA Cup England (Round 4) 14 feb 2026, 12:45
Finished
1 : 3
England, Birmingham, Villa Park
Tammy Abraham
14'
63' 76'
Sandro Tonali
88'
Nick Woltemade

On February 14, 2026, in the fourth round of the FA Cup, Aston Villa will host Newcastle. The match is set to kick off at 18:45 Central European Time. Let’s take a closer look at the potential outcome of this clash.

Aston Villa

Aston Villa approach this match in fairly good form. Over their last six matches across all competitions, the team have suffered only one defeat, recorded one draw, and claimed four victories. One of those wins came away in the Premier League against Newcastle, where Villa secured an impressive 2–0 victory. In their most recent match, they also won at home, narrowly beating Brighton 1–0.

In the Premier League standings, Aston Villa currently sit in third place, three points behind Manchester City and six points adrift of leaders Arsenal. As for their home form, Villa generally perform very confidently at Villa Park, although there have been a few setbacks recently. In their last 15 home matches in all competitions, the team have won 13 times and lost only twice.

In the FA Cup, Aston Villa advanced in the previous round by defeating Tottenham 2–1. Looking back at last season’s campaign, Villa reached the semi-finals, where they were eventually eliminated by Crystal Palace.

Regarding head-to-head meetings against Newcastle at home, Aston Villa hold a clear advantage in recent years. In their last seven matches in Birmingham, Villa have recorded five wins, one draw, and just one defeat.

Newcastle

As for Newcastle, they also come into this match following a victory. However, it was their only win across the last six matches in all competitions. In the most recent round of the Premier League, Newcastle defeated Tottenham 2–1 away from home, bringing an end to a poor run of form that included four consecutive defeats and one draw.

In the Premier League table, Newcastle currently sit in 10th place, eight points adrift of the European qualification spots. Regarding their European campaign, the team managed to reach the Champions League knockout stage after finishing 12th in the overall standings, and will now compete in the Round of 32, where they are set to face Azerbaijan’s Qarabag.

It is also worth noting that Newcastle’s recent matches have been quite high-scoring. Each of their last four games has finished with over 2.5 goals, while both teams have scored in five consecutive matches. In the previous round of the FA Cup, Newcastle advanced past a tough opponent, edging Bournemouth on penalties. Additionally, Newcastle reached the semi-finals of the EFL Cup, where they were eliminated by Manchester City.

As for head-to-head meetings against Aston Villa, Newcastle have struggled in recent encounters. The team have failed to win any of the last three meetings, recording two defeats and one draw.

Probable Lineups

  • Aston Villa: Martinez, Bogarde, Konsa, Mings, Maatsen, Onana, Douglas Luiz, Buendia, Rogers, Sancho, Watkins
  • Newcastle: Pope, Trippier, Thiaw, Burn, Botman, Ramsey, Bruno Guimaraes, Willock, Elanga, Barnes, Gordon

Key Facts and Head-to-Head

  • Aston Villa are unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 matches.
  • Newcastle have lost 3 of their last 4 matches.
  • Newcastle’s last 4 matches have seen over 2.5 goals.
  • In Newcastle’s last 5 matches, both teams scored.
  • Aston Villa have won or drawn 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings.

Aston Villa — Newcastle Prediction

Both teams come into this match after victories in their most recent games, but their overall form differs significantly. Aston Villa are enjoying a solid run, having suffered just one defeat in their last six matches. The team look very confident at home, currently sit third in the Premier League, and are also performing well in European competition after reaching the Round of 16 in the Europa League. Newcastle, on the other hand, only recently ended a five-match winless streak with their latest victory. They are positioned in the middle of the Premier League table but have also reached the Champions League knockout stage. In head-to-head meetings, Newcastle have failed to beat Aston Villa in three consecutive matches. Taking into account Aston Villa’s strong home form, their current momentum, and their recent dominance over Newcastle, the hosts appear slightly more stable. However, Newcastle will be highly motivated to end their negative run against the Birmingham side and take revenge for their recent home defeat. Considering all these factors, this match is expected to be competitive, entertaining, and fairly balanced. Given Newcastle’s tendency to play open football, the game is likely to be high-scoring, with goals from both teams. My bet for this match: Both Teams to Score — Yes at odds of 1.52.

Prediction on game Both teams to score - Yes
Odds: 1.52
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