Arsenal vs Tottenham prediction, H2H and probable lineups — November 23, 2025
On November 23, the traditional North London derby will light up the Emirates as Arsenal host Tottenham in Matchweek 12 of the Premier League.
- See also: Al-Hilal vs MC Alger prediction, H2H and probable lineups - November 21, 2025
Key facts and head-to-head history:
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last 14 matches.
- Tottenham have won just 2 of their last 5 games.
- In their last 5 head-to-head encounters: Arsenal have 3 wins, 1 draw, and Tottenham have 1 win.
- The "both teams to score" bet has landed in 3 of the last 5 matches between these sides.
- Arsenal have scored 20 goals and conceded just 5 in 11 Premier League rounds.
- Tottenham have netted 19 times in 11 matches, but have let in 10 goals.
- Arsenal may not field their strongest lineup due to a string of injuries among key players.
Match preview:
This clash is crucial for the Gunners: they sit atop the table, aiming to solidify their lead and set the pace in the title race. Tottenham, meanwhile, are eager to spring a surprise — a derby win would be a massive morale boost and could help stabilize their season.
Arsenal have looked dominant at home, showcasing possession control and varied attacking play. However, injuries among key midfielders and forwards could hamper their creativity. On the other hand, Tottenham, though not at their best, remain a dangerous side on the break and at set pieces — situations where they could disrupt the hosts’ rhythm.
Under Thomas Frank, Spurs have shown they can battle away from home, but a lack of consistency and possible squad gaps could be an issue. According to xG analysis, Arsenal’s chances of victory are significantly higher, with the odds leaning their way.
Given this context, expect Arsenal to dictate play, especially with their motivation to strengthen their lead. The match promises to be high-octane and emotional, with Arsenal likely to push forward through positional attacks and Tottenham threatening on the counter. Expect a tight contest, but with a slight edge for the home side.
Probable lineups:
- Arsenal: Raya, Timber, Saliba, Hincapie, Lewis-Skelly, Zubimendi, Rice, Saka, Eze, Trossard, Merino.
- Tottenham: Vicario, Spence, Van de Ven, Romero, Porro, Bentancur, Sarr, Palhinha, Simons, Richarlison, Johnson.
Match prediction:
This North London derby is traditionally high-scoring, and all signs point to the total surpassing two goals once again. Arsenal, playing at home, tend to attack aggressively down the flanks and consistently create chances with their rapid ball movement. Despite their inconsistency, Tottenham are a side capable of finding the net against top opposition — especially through swift transitions and quality forwards. Both teams favor a fast-paced, open style, which inevitably leads to opportunities at both ends. Considering the attacking quality on display and the emotional stakes of the North London derby, the most likely scenario is a match featuring at least three goals.
My prediction — total goals over 2.
