Arsenal vs Chelsea: who will come out on top in the London derby?

Finished
2 : 1
England, London, Emirates Stadium
William Saliba
21'
Jurrien Timber
66'
45' + 2 (OG)
Piero Hincapie

On Sunday, March 1, we are set for the headline fixture of Matchday 28 in the English Premier League as Arsenal take on Chelsea. Kick-off is at 17:30 CET, and I am offering a betting tip for this clash.

Arsenal vs Chelsea: match facts and head-to-head

  • Arsenal are unbeaten in eight consecutive matches: two draws and six wins.
  • Arsenal have scored at least one goal in ten straight games.
  • Chelsea are unbeaten in four matches: two draws and two victories.
  • At home, Arsenal have won their last four fixtures.
  • Chelsea have won five of their last six matches.
  • Arsenal boast the best defensive record in the Premier League with just 21 goals conceded.
  • Arsenal also have the most potent attack in the league with 56 goals scored.
  • Arsenal have won 47% of their matches this season with a clean sheet, Chelsea 26%.
  • In 47% of their league matches this season, Arsenal have scored in both halves.
  • In the previous meeting, Arsenal edged Chelsea 1–0.

Arsenal vs Chelsea: match preview

Arsenal currently sit at the summit of the Premier League table and are the frontrunners in the title race. After 28 rounds, they have collected 61 points and lead the standings. However, the gap to second place is far from decisive. Manchester City trail by five points, but the Citizens have a game in hand, meaning dropped points could prove costly for the Gunners. In their last outing, Arsenal dismantled Tottenham 4–1, though prior to that they were held to a 2–2 draw by Wolverhampton, and they have dropped points in two of their last three matches.

Chelsea have already changed their head coach during the course of the season, yet their objective remains unchanged — a push for a UEFA Champions League berth. The Blues are currently fifth in the table with 45 points from 27 matches. They sit just three points adrift of fourth place, leaving their chances very much alive. However, in their previous match, Chelsea dropped points in a 1–1 draw against Burnley, and such slip-ups could prove damaging if they are serious about securing Champions League football.

Probable line-ups

  • Arsenal: Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Hincapie; Zubimendi, Rice; Saka, Eze, Trossard; Gyokeres
  • Chelsea: Sanchez; James, Adarabioyo, Chalobah, Gusto; Caicedo, Santos; Palmer, Fernandez, Neto; Pedro

Prediction

An intense and compelling contest awaits in what promises to be a gripping derby. However, I do not expect it to be a high-scoring affair, so I suggest a bet on under 3 total goals.

Prediction on game Total under 3
Odds: 1.65
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