Arsenal - Chelsea prediction, H2H and probable lineups - March 16, 2025
The highlight of the 29th round of the English Championship will take place on Sunday at the Emirates Stadium, where Arsenal and Chelsea will clash in a London derby. I propose a bet on the outcome of this encounter with good chances of success.
Match preview
Although Arsenal continues to impress in the Champions League, the team has faced challenges on the domestic front. The Gunners have been unable to win in three consecutive rounds, scoring just one goal during this period. It all started with a home defeat against West Ham (0:1), followed by goalless away draws with Nottingham Forest and Manchester United (1:1).
Despite this, Mikel Arteta's side is still holding on to second place, but their gap from leading Liverpool has now widened to 15 points. However, it is worth noting that in the last 18 rounds of the championship, Arsenal has lost only once, securing 10 wins and settling for 7 draws.
Chelsea skillfully took advantage of a favorable schedule that allowed them to play two home matches against outsiders. Enzo Maresca's side first thrashed Southampton (4:0), then narrowly defeated Leicester (1:0). These victories have allowed them to return to the Champions League zone and create a small two-point cushion over their nearest competitors in the race for the top four.
It is also worth noting their scoring prowess – the team has already netted 53 goals, which is the third-best in the Premier League. However, consistency remains an issue: in the last 12 Premier League matches, the Blues failed to win 8 times, drawing three times and suffering 5 defeats.
Probable lineups
- Arsenal: David Raya – Riccardo Calafiori, Gabriel Magalhães, William Saliba, Jurriën Timber – Thomas Partey, Declan Rice, Martin Ødegaard – Mikel Merino, Ethan Nwaneri, Leandro Trossard
- Chelsea: Robert Sánchez – Levi Colwill, Tosin Adarabioyo, Marc Cucurella, Wesley Fofana – Enzo Fernández, Moisés Caicedo – Pedro Neto, Cole Palmer, Jadon Sancho – Christopher Nkunku
Match facts and head-to-head
- In 7 of Arsenal's last 9 Premier League matches, no more than three goals were scored
- Chelsea defeated Copenhagen twice in the Conference League playoffs
- Arsenal drew with PSV (2:2) in the Champions League, having previously won away 7:1
- In the first round, the teams played to a 1:1 draw
Prediction
Arsenal holds a significant advantage in head-to-head encounters at the Premier League level. In the last six matches against this opponent, the Londoners celebrated success four times, with two draws. Moreover, Mikel Arteta's team clearly feels at home on their own turf – in the last two home games against this opponent, the Gunners secured convincing victories, thrashing their rivals 5:0 and 3:1. Our bet is "Arsenal to win" with odds of 1.85.
