Alaves vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and probable lineups — February 4, 2026
In the quarterfinals of the Copa del Rey, Alaves will face off against Real Sociedad. The showdown is set for Wednesday, February 4, with kickoff scheduled for 21:00 Central European Time. Here’s my pick for the winner of this clash.
Match preview
Alaves are enjoying an intriguing season, balancing their La Liga campaign with a determined cup run. In the league, the team has shown consistency and currently occupies the tenth spot in the standings.
In cup fixtures, Chacho Coudet’s side have displayed fighting spirit and a knack for troubling higher-profile opponents. On their way to the quarterfinals, Alaves have already knocked out two fellow La Liga clubs: Sevilla and Rayo Vallecano.
Recent matches show that Alaves have grown more confident at home: the side now controls possession better and finishes attacking moves with greater composure. Thanks to dynamic wing play and precise passing, they are creating a wealth of scoring chances.
Motivation is also a key factor: a Copa del Rey quarterfinal is a huge incentive for both players and coaching staff. Alaves have already proved they’re not intimidated by big games and are ready to give their all in front of their home fans.
Real Sociedad enter this fixture as clear favorites in terms of squad quality and consistency. In La Liga, the San Sebastian side are in the upper echelons of the table, boasting a well-balanced approach both in attack and defense.
In the 2025/26 campaign, Real Sociedad have impressed as a unit with clear tactical discipline and the ability to control possession for large stretches. That said, their results aren’t flawless—as they currently trail the European qualification spots by six points.
Recent outings confirm the high level of Sociedad’s play—the team confidently wins key matches, expertly managing the tempo and protecting leads. The midfield, in particular, shines as the crucial link between defense and attack, opening up space for the forwards.
Among their latest results, the home win over Barcelona stands out and certainly boosted their confidence. They followed that by dispatching Celta, and their derby against Athletic ended in a draw.
Match facts
- Alaves are unbeaten at home in their last four matches.
- Real Sociedad are undefeated in their last eight games.
- Alaves average 1.1 goals per home game, while Real Sociedad also average 1.1 goals per game away from home.
Probable lineups
- Alaves: Sivera, Parada, Pacheco, Protesoni, Jonny Otto, Blanco, Ibanez, Kalebe, Alena, Boye, Martinez.
- Real Sociedad: Remiro, Gomez, Zubeldia, Marten, Aramburu, Soler, Turrientes, Guedes, Marin, Sucic, Oyarzabal.
H2H
Alaves have beaten Real Sociedad in each of their last three head-to-head meetings.
Prediction
Both sides are highly motivated, and a quarterfinal fixture leaves no room for a cautious approach over the full 90 minutes. Alaves tend to play with more freedom at home, while Real Sociedad have the quality to punish any mistakes. My pick—an away win with a 0 handicap.
