Alaves vs Real Sociedad prediction, H2H and probable line-ups — December 6, 2025

Deportivo Alaves vs Real Sociedad prediction Photo by Juan Manuel Serrano Arce/Getty Images
LaLiga Spain (Round 15) 06 dec 2025, 10:15
Finished
1 : 0
Spain, Vitoria, Estadio Mendizorroza
Lucas Boye
45' + 4 (P)

As part of Matchday 15 in La Liga, Alaves will face off against Real Sociedad. The clash is set for Saturday, December 6, with kick-off scheduled at 16:15 Central European Time. Here’s my take and betting tip for this intriguing encounter.

Match preview

Alaves have been struggling in La Liga lately: Eduardo Coudet’s squad hasn’t tasted victory in their last three league outings. The silver lining came in the Copa del Rey, where they cruised past Portugalete with a confident 3-0 win.

As a result, Alaves have slipped to 14th place, just three points clear of the relegation zone. They’re also facing personnel issues: key central midfielder Antonio Blanco will miss this game due to suspension after picking up another yellow card in the clash against Barcelona.

Real Sociedad’s situation is quite different. After a turbulent start to the season, the Basques have found their rhythm, losing just once in their last eight matches. This resurgence has propelled them to 10th place with 16 points. Following a managerial change, the "Txuri-Urdin" have overcome their crisis and are back on the winning track.

Among the absentees for the Basques is their star player Mikel Oyarzabal, who remains sidelined and won’t feature in this fixture either. This is a major blow, as Oyarzabal is not only pivotal on the pitch but also a true leader in the dressing room.

Match facts and head-to-head

  • Alaves have won just once in their last four matches.
  • Five of Real Sociedad’s last seven games have seen over two goals scored.
  • Both teams have found the net in four of Real Sociedad’s last five matches.
  • In the last ten meetings between these sides, Real Sociedad have a clear edge: the Basques have won four times, with four draws, and Alaves have celebrated victory just twice.
  • The most recent match between these teams at Alaves’ home ground ended with a narrow 1-0 win for the hosts.

Probable line-ups

  • Alaves: Sivera - Otto, Tenglia, Pacheco, Parada - Ibáñez, Guevera, Suárez - Calebe, Rebbach, Boyé
  • Real Sociedad: Remiro - Aramburu, Elustondo, Martin, Gómez - Gorrotxategi, Méndez, Soler - Kubo, Barrenetxea, Guedes

Prediction

I’m expecting a low-scoring affair here. The history between these two sides suggests goals are usually at a premium—the last time there were more than two goals in this fixture was back in 2009 in the Segunda, when Alaves edged it 2-1. I anticipate another tight contest, so my prediction is under 2.5 goals.

Prediction on game Total under 2.5
Odds: 1.52
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