Alaves vs Real Madrid: will Real Madrid end their poor run and claim victory?

LaLiga Spain (Round 16) 14 dec 2025, 15:00
Finished
1 : 2
Spain, Vitoria, Estadio Mendizorroza
Carlos Vicente
68'
24'
Kylian Mbappe
76'
Rodrygo

On Sunday, December 14, we are in for a La Liga clash in Spain as Alaves host Real Madrid on their home ground. Kick-off is scheduled for 21:00 CET, and I am offering a betting pick for this match.

Alaves vs Real Madrid: match facts and H2H

  • Alaves have won their last two matches after previously losing three in a row.
  • Real Madrid have also lost their previous two games and have just one win in their last four matches.
  • Real Madrid are unbeaten away from home in six consecutive matches.
  • At present, Real Madrid boast the second-best defence in La Liga, having conceded 15 goals.
  • Only 9% of Real Madrid’s matches this season have ended in a defeat without scoring, compared to 29% for Alaves.
  • Real Madrid have won 36% of their matches this season with a clean sheet, while Alaves stand at 24%.
  • In 36% of their matches this season, Real Madrid have scored in both halves.
  • Kylian Mbappé is the top scorer in La Liga this season with 16 goals.
  • Real Madrid defeated Alaves 1–0 in their last head-to-head meeting.

Alaves vs Real Madrid: match preview

Alaves are currently positioned in mid-table in La Liga. After 15 rounds, they have collected 18 points and sit 11th in the standings. Their cushion over the relegation zone is just four points, meaning Alaves cannot afford to relax and must continue picking up points. The congestion at the bottom of the table is also intense, with only five points separating ninth place from 18th. In such circumstances, every match and every point is crucial.

Real Madrid are second in the table with 36 points from 16 matches, trailing the leaders by four points. Not long ago, Los Blancos enjoyed a commanding advantage over Barcelona, but their recent form has dipped. In their last five matches, Real Madrid have recorded just one win, three draws, and one defeat. That loss came in the previous round against Celta Vigo, where they were beaten 0–2. In midweek, they also fell 1–2 to Manchester City. Once again, speculation has intensified regarding the future of Xabi Alonso, making the encounter against Alaves both important and challenging for the Whites.

Probable line-ups

  • Alaves: Sivera; Otto, Tenaglia, Pacheco, Parada; Guevara; Calebe, Ibanez, Suarez, Rebbach; Boye
  • Real Madrid: Courtois; Valverde, Rudiger, Huijsen, Asencio; Guler, Tchouameni, Ceballos; Bellingham; Rodrygo, Vinicius

Prediction

This is a crucial match for Real Madrid, and I believe they will do everything possible to secure victory. I am recommending a bet on a win for Xabi Alonso’s side.

Prediction on game Win Real Madrid
Odds: 1.7
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